# In-Depth Analysis of Pre-IPOs in 2026: Rising Valuations and How Retail Investors Can Get Involved

Ecosystem
更新済み: 2026-04-29 04:37

2026 is shaping up to be one of the busiest IPO years in US stock market history. As of late April, 70 new unicorn companies have emerged in 2026, pushing the global unicorn count to 1,727, with a combined valuation ranging from approximately 1 trillion to 1.5 trillion RMB. At the same time, pre-IPO valuations are climbing at an unprecedented pace. Anthropic’s implied pre-IPO valuation has surpassed $1 trillion in on-chain private market trading. SpaceX has filed for an IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation, and OpenAI is also preparing to go public at an $852 billion valuation.

AI Wave Fuels Trillion-Dollar Pre-IPO Valuations

Artificial intelligence is the primary driver behind this surge in pre-IPO valuations. Leading AI companies are seeing their valuations soar almost vertically. Take Anthropic, the AI firm behind Claude, for example. Since October 2025, its implied pre-IPO valuation has skyrocketed by 733%, making it the third private company to join the trillion-dollar pre-IPO club, alongside OpenAI and SpaceX. Together, these companies now represent a combined implied market value of $3.7 trillion. Financially, Anthropic’s annualized revenue run rate has surpassed $30 billion, a dramatic leap from about $9 billion at the end of 2025—an increase of more than tenfold. Google has committed up to $40 billion in investments, with the first tranche of $10 billion already injected. Meanwhile, in April, Xiwang, a company focused on AI inference GPUs, completed a new funding round exceeding 1 billion RMB, pushing its valuation above 10 billion RMB and establishing it as China’s first unicorn in the pure inference GPU sector.

IPO Window Reopens, Providing an Exit for High Valuations

The fundamental reason pre-IPO valuations continue to rise in 2026 is the full reopening of the IPO window. The Federal Reserve officially entered a rate-cutting cycle in 2025, prompting a revaluation of risk assets and finally giving capital tied up in high-priced rounds from 2022 to 2023 a chance to exit. As of April 10, 2026, more than 120 companies have filed for IPOs, marking the highest level since the record peak in 2021. Global IPO fundraising in the first quarter reached about $44 billion (approximately 300 billion RMB), and the "dry powder" accumulated during the high-interest-rate period of 2023 to 2024 is now being deployed at a record pace.

The Hong Kong stock market is also showing strong signs of recovery. As of February 26, 24 companies have completed IPOs on the Hong Kong exchange this year, a 166.67% year-over-year increase. There are 488 companies in the IPO pipeline, with total fundraising reaching 89.226 billion HKD.

The full reopening of the IPO window has directly anchored valuations in the primary market. Investors are willing to pay significant premiums for leading companies about to go public, creating a positive feedback loop of "high valuation—high attention—successful IPO—higher exit expectations."

Secondary Market Liquidity Boom Pushes Valuation Anchors Higher

The third force supporting the ongoing rise in 2026 pre-IPO valuations is the explosive growth of the private equity secondary market.

According to Bain & Company’s Global Private Equity Market Report released in March 2026, secondary transactions led by GPs and LPs grew by 41% year-over-year, with GP-led continuation funds up 62% and an average annual growth rate of 37% since 2022. Meanwhile, the industry is sitting on a backlog of about 32,000 unsold companies valued at $3.8 trillion, with the average holding period for exits rising to around seven years. This massive backlog is forcing investors to actively seek liquidity solutions, making the secondary market an indispensable liquidity tool.

Real-time pricing mechanisms on on-chain trading platforms have further pushed valuations higher. Anthropic’s pricing on blockchain-based pre-IPO markets is now nearly in line with traditional secondary platforms like Forge Global, with the price gap narrowing to within 18%. As industry observers note, "Pre-IPO price discovery used to rely on quarterly tenders—now it’s a real-time order book."

At the trading platform level, one notable shift is that crypto exchanges are becoming the core channels for tokenized pre-IPO assets. In April 2026, crypto exchanges such as Binance, Bitget, and Gate launched a flurry of pre-IPO tokenized products, dramatically lowering the participation threshold and breaking the traditional restrictions for qualified investors.

Risks and Outlook: Sober Reflections Amid the Hype

Soaring valuations on secondary and on-chain platforms do not guarantee that IPO opening prices will match these levels. Institutional investors in public markets will scrutinize the high valuations set by secondary markets. Historical cases offer a cautionary tale: after VCX went public on the NYSE, its share price surged by as much as 1,740% over the IPO price, but its net asset value per share remained around $19, with peak premiums approaching 30 times. This case highlights the gap that still exists between pre-IPO valuations and fair prices in the public market.

Looking ahead to the rest of 2026, SpaceX plans to launch its IPO in the summer, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. Anthropic could go public as early as October, with prediction markets assigning a 59% probability of an IPO this year. The ongoing debate over these companies’ IPO timelines ultimately centers on one question: Are the lofty pre-IPO valuations driven by speculative premiums in the secondary market, or do they genuinely reflect the companies’ fundamentals and the synchronized value of the IPO window?

Summary

The continued rise in pre-IPO valuations in 2026 is the result of three powerful drivers:

First, the AI boom is propelling leading tech companies to trillion-dollar valuations even before going public, with Anthropic setting a new benchmark by growing 733% to a $1 trillion on-chain valuation.

Second, the IPO window has fully reopened after years of dormancy. Global IPO fundraising reached about $44 billion in the first quarter, with more than 120 companies in the queue, providing a reliable exit path for high valuations.

Third, the combined effect of the private equity secondary market and on-chain pre-IPO trading platforms has amplified liquidity, with M&A exit values up 47% year-over-year (about 4.9 trillion RMB). Crypto exchanges’ launch of tokenized pre-IPO products has further lowered the barrier to entry.

Overall, the 2026 pre-IPO market is at a pivotal point of structural transformation. From SpaceX and OpenAI to Anthropic and ByteDance, a wave of platform-level companies is preparing to go public within the same window. This is not just a race for higher valuations—it signals a profound reshaping of global capital flows, valuation frameworks, and risk appetites.

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