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#比特币站上七万美元 Bitcoin weekly timeframe is currently in a corrective rebound phase following the mid-bear downtrend. The key support below is at 63K level, with the critical support zone at 60-65K. The recovery target is near the MA14 78.5K, and the mid-term bearish trend has not yet reversed.
The short to medium-term moving averages (MA7/14/30) continue to extend downward, especially the MA14, which has suppressed price rebounds and initiated new downtrends throughout the entire decline, serving as an important reference line for price recovery. The long-term MA180 is the critical support lifeline for the current market.
Trading volume expanded during the previous decline and showed moderate expansion during recent rebounds, indicating that buying interest is still tentatively entering and has not yet formed trending momentum. The MACD indicator is located below the 0-axis and diverging downward. Although the fast line shows signs of turning and contracting, the bearish momentum is still weakening, but no clear golden cross signal has yet appeared. The mid-term trend remains biased downward. This week, focus on the 78-80K important resistance zone above, and the 70-68K support zone below. On the daily timeframe, seven consecutive small yang candles have broken out of the small-level rebound channel. Currently, price has stood above the short to medium-term (MA7/14/30) moving averages, with the short-term trend shifting from bearish to bullish. The support below is at 70K (convergence of MA7/14 and recent lows), and resistance above is at 75K (previous small platform) and 80K (MA90 moving average resistance).
Trading volume has moderately expanded during the recent rebound process, with improved buying support power, showing no obvious large volume spike followed by pullback. The MACD fast line has broken above the 0-axis and continues extending upward, with positive histogram values continuing to expand slightly, indicating strengthening short-term bullish momentum.
The daily timeframe has entered a short-term rebound trend, with bullish momentum gradually recovering, but with dense resistance above, making oscillating uptrend the most likely rebound rhythm.
Trend forecast for this week: Combining the convergence signals from weekly and daily timeframes, the week will most likely see oscillating uptrend, with prices ranging from 75-78K for consolidation, followed by tentative tests of the 78-80K resistance level. If subsequent momentum fails to maintain volume expansion as prices rise, geopolitical conflicts escalate, or the Federal Reserve sends hawkish signals, this rebound cycle may end.