Whether market predictions are correct or not is not the fundamental reason that ultimately determines whether you can make money. Many people can predict major market movements or make substantial profits at first, but ultimately end up operating in various sketchy ways due to their own nature, eventually losing everything and leaving the market. The greed, anger, delusion, arrogance, and doubt that arise during this process are what you truly need to think about how to overcome. In comparison, win rate is the least worth mentioning factor.