# macro

Gate Square Daily | Jan 20 📊
Macro meets crypto—here’s what’s shaping the market today 👇
🔹 Fed Outlook
Markets are pricing a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January. Risk assets are breathing easier, but traders remain cautious ahead of future guidance.
🔹 Bitcoin OG Move
A long-term Bitcoin holder from 13 years ago just moved 909 BTC—an unrealized gain of roughly 13,900×. These rare movements always spark speculation, but they also highlight BTC’s long-term value narrative.
🔹 ETH Treasury Activity
FG Nexus, with around $120M in ETH, sold 2,50

JUST IN:
$4,750 for Gold. New ATH
The precious metal rally is officially in "insane" territory. Everyone is looking for the next big trade, but the oldest trade in history is the one printing the most right now.
Don't ignore the signal the charts are giving us.
#Gold #ATH #Macro #GoldandSilverHitNewHighs #DoubleRewardsWithGUSD

Japan Jolt Hits Global Markets!
The Bank of Japan just hiked 75bps in 72 hours — a shockwave through global liquidity. Easy money is off, and the carry trade is unraveling. Stocks and crypto are flashing red.
What to watch:
Trump warns: global rate hikes threaten growth
Fed in the hot seat — pivot or hold?
Volatility spikes: chaos = opportunity
Crypto frontlines:
$FORM ‌ +10.13% | $OM ‌ +18.62% | $EPIC ‌ +18.62% 🚀
Cheap money just hit a brick wall in Tokyo. Stay alert — the markets are shaking!
#Macro #JapanShock #Crypto #Volatility

#CPIDataAnalysis
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) goes beyond being an economic indicator; it serves as a significant market trigger. Each CPI release can alter expectations regarding inflation, interest rates, liquidity, and ultimately affect risk assets such as cryptocurrencies and stocks.
Here's a guide to interpreting CPI beyond its headline figures 👇
1️⃣ Importance of CPI
CPI measures the pace at which prices rise for everyday goods and services, crucially addressing:
➡️ Is inflation slowing down sufficiently for central banks to ease policies?
A lower CPI may signal potential rate cuts a

📊 Macro Watch: BOJ, Yen Liquidity & Crypto Risk
JPMorgan expects the Bank of Japan to hike rates twice in 2025, with policy rates potentially reaching 1.25% by end-2026. If this plays out, it could mark a meaningful shift after years of ultra-loose Japanese monetary policy.
🔹 Why the yen matters:
The yen has long funded global risk-taking through the yen carry trade. Rising BOJ rates could tighten yen liquidity and reduce leverage flowing into risk assets.
🔹 Carry trade unwind risk:
If Japanese yields rise and the yen strengthens, leveraged positions funded in yen may unwind. Historically,

#FedRateCutComing
📉 #FedRateCutComing — The Markets Are Poised for a Shift
The Federal Reserve signaling a potential rate cut isn’t just another headline — it’s a structural turning point for global risk assets. With inflation showing signs of cooling and economic data softening, markets are pricing in easier monetary policy ahead.
Here’s why this matters:
🔹 Equities & Risk Assets: Lower rates reduce the cost of capital, improve valuations, and can fuel buying momentum across stocks & crypto. Historically, rate cuts have supported market rallies as liquidity increases.
🔹 Bitcoin & Crypto:

Bank of America CEO Warns: Allowing Interest on Stablecoins Could Lead to $6 Trillion in Deposit Outflows
WuBlock
Jan 15, 2026
#Macro
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan warned during the company's earnings call on Wednesday that if Congress allows stablecoins to pay interest, it could lead to as much as $6.00 trillion in deposits shifting from the U.S. banking system into stablecoins. This amount represents approximately 30% to 35% of total U.S. commercial bank deposits.
Moynihan noted that stablecoins are structured similarly to money market mutual funds, with reserves typically holding short

#GoldPrintsNewATH 🚀📈
Gold’s Historic Rally Continues — What’s Next in 2026
Gold has just capped one of its strongest years in history, trading at all-time highs above $4,500/oz and drawing global attention as a dominant safe-havens asset amid economic uncertainty.
📌 Current Price Reality
• Gold hit fresh record levels near $4,500+ per ounce by late 2025 — an exceptional run driven by risk aversion and demand from both investors and institutions.
• Local markets (e.g., Asia and Pakistan) have reflected this trend with 24K gold prices also reaching new highs, showing the global breadth of t

🚨 CPI DAY – Market on Edge
US CPI release: 8:30AM ET
Expectation: 2.9%
Impact:
👉 Lower than 2.9% = Bullish breakout
👉 At 2.9% = Correction risk
👉 Above 2.9% = Bearish shock
Reminder: Yesterday’s soft PPI strengthens the case for 50bps cut.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #macro

📈🤔 #BTC Matrixport: The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 bps this week, with markets already pricing in 3+ cuts ahead. This #shift could provide strong stimulus, potentially fueling #Bitcoin and risk assets to new all-time highs. #macro
$BTC
#crypto