Jamesvanst

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Good luck to all mortgage holders out there that need to re-finance.
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Treasury yields globally are flying
While, DXY and bitcoin are both up, everything else is selling off.
Wild to see.
BTC-2,44%
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I have a slight concern about $STRC that the market may start to exploit:
Buy STRC, hold for 2 weeks, sell (forcing a dividend increase), then repeat.
The market may exploit Saylor's plan, and I don’t see why the dividend couldn’t theoretically reach 20%.
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UK 10-Year Hits New High Last Seen in 2008
Emerging market.
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Up to around 700k BTC purchased in the $60–70k region during this drawdown.
The $70,000 price bucket is now the fourth biggest supply cluster.
Bitcoin is only down 1% this week without $STRC as a buyer.
BTC-2,44%
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If it’s not absolutely clear, Bitcoin has bottomed versus gold.
BTC-2,44%
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Biggest spread since 2013 between Brent and WTI Crude
In other words, Europe are going bankrupt.
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Biggest spread since 2013 between Brent and Crude
In other words, Europe are going bankrupt.
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A stronger dollar environment in which we are heading, is a net negative for gold and slightly favours bitcoin.
Gold = China
US = Bitcoin
BTC-2,44%
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The two things bloating up my timeline is the fear and previous cycle fractals showing 40k.
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MSTR just closed above the 200WMA for the first time since February.
Between May and July 2022 it never closed above the 200WMA.
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The market is so heavily hedged with fear right now that the $20,000 put is the largest option position going into quarterly expiry.
Makes me think Bitcoin just goes higher, after expiry
BTC-2,44%
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Remember the insolvency, liquidation stories and the billions in unrealized losses coming out against MSTR.
Good times.
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Gold has been following the Shanghai composite
Bitcoin has been going up with the dollar since the war in the Middle East started along with Circle (Stablecoins)
BTC + Stablecoins = U.S
Gold = China
BTC-2,44%
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The new relationship forming is Bitcoin and stablecoins (CRCL) going up with the DXY.
Meanwhile, gold and the Shanghai Composite are in lockstep, trending down.
BTC = U.S.
Gold = China
BTC-2,44%
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BTC is now up 8 consecutive days in a row (only 15 times it has done this before).
One of those times was in 2022, March 22-29.
BTC then fell 60% over the next 80 days.
BTC-2,44%
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It took $STRC 8 trading days to get back to $100 (par) in February.
Trading day 2 opens at $99.90.
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Last week was a glimpse of what Strategy wants to achieve long-term.
$STRC was the leading Bitcoin accumulator ($1.2B).
The common stock ATM will be used more opportunistically.
The company will need to let the common stock run more freely.
While it is more accretive to use the STRC ATM.
BTC-2,44%
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Last week's price action was fascinating.
IBIT and IGV were correlated on Monday, but by Tuesday they lost complete correlation for the rest of the week.
As the week progressed, IBIT continued to appreciate while everything else sold off.
Something to keep an eye on.
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Saylor will be announcing a top 5 bitcoin purchase on Monday, which was achieved in a bear market.
>22,305 BTC
For third place, its greater than 29,647 BTC
BTC-2,44%
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