Trump announced a postponement of military strikes against Iran, triggering a sharp decline in oil prices. Despite claims of effective dialogue with Iran, Iran's parliament speaker denied direct negotiations. Trump's threats toward Iran since 2018 show a pattern of repetition, with only partial follow-through. Looking ahead, three scenarios may emerge after the 5-day period expires, with markets holding different expectations for future oil price movements. In this game, both Trump and Iran face internal pressure, and the choice between negotiations and military action will influence the development of the situation.

2026-03-17 03:30—03:45 (UTC), BTC experienced a sharp decline, with K-line data showing a yield rate of -0.54%, price range between 74350.0—74829.0 USDT, and amplitude reaching 0.64%. During this period, market attention increased, volatility intensified, and the short-term downtrend triggered widespread tracking. The main driving force of this anomaly was multiple on-chain large transfers exceeding 500 BTC each, primarily flowing to a major exchange, resulting in an increase of approximately 3,200 BTC in the exchange's hot wallet balance. This triggered concentrated selling pressure, prompting