Is Swell Network (SWELL) a good investment?: A Comprehensive Analysis of Tokenomics, Use Cases, and Market Potential

2025-12-22 20:23:05
Altcoins
Crypto staking
DeFi
Ethereum
Liquid Staking
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The article provides a comprehensive analysis of Swell Network's (SWELL) investment potential, focusing on its tokenomics, use cases, market positioning, and performance metrics. It evaluates historical price trends, technical specifications, and anticipated market dynamics to help investors determine SWELL's viability as an investment. The report addresses critical investment considerations for SWELL, such as market volatility, liquidity concerns, and technological challenges, aimed at both new and experienced investors. It further offers market forecasts and strategic investment recommendations while highlighting potential risks associated with this digital asset. Suitable for investors evaluating opportunities within the decentralized finance ecosystem.
Is Swell Network (SWELL) a good investment?: A Comprehensive Analysis of Tokenomics, Use Cases, and Market Potential

Introduction: Swell Network (SWELL) Investment Position and Market Outlook

Swell is a non-custodial staking protocol that has emerged as a significant asset in the crypto space. As of December 23, 2025, SWELL maintains a market capitalization of approximately $6.60 million, with a circulating supply of approximately 3.98 billion tokens out of a total supply of 10 billion. The token is currently trading at $0.001658, having experienced notable price fluctuations since its public launch in November 2024 at an initial price of $0.05.

With its mission to deliver the world's best liquid staking and restaking experience while simplifying access to DeFi and securing the future of Ethereum and restaking services, SWELL has attracted attention from investors evaluating whether Swell Network represents a viable investment opportunity. The project's non-custodial protocol structure and focus on the liquid staking sector position it within a growing segment of the decentralized finance ecosystem.

This article provides a comprehensive analysis of SWELL's investment value, historical price performance, future price projections, and associated investment risks to serve as a reference for investors considering this digital asset.

Swell Network (SWELL) Cryptographic Asset Research Report

I. SWELL Price History Review and Current Investment Value Assessment

SWELL Historical Price Performance and Investment Returns

Key Price Milestones:

  • All-Time High (ATH): $0.19992 (September 29, 2024)
  • All-Time Low (ATL): $0.001497 (December 18, 2025)
  • Current Price: $0.001658 (December 23, 2025)

Performance Analysis by Time Period:

Time Period Price Change Change Amount
1 Hour -0.72% -$0.000012
24 Hours +2.02% +$0.000033
7 Days -8.79% -$0.000160
30 Days -42.059% -$0.001204
1 Year -94.62% -$0.029160

Current SWELL Market Status (December 23, 2025)

Price and Market Metrics:

  • Current Price: $0.001658 USD
  • 24-Hour Trading Volume: $54,055.00
  • Market Capitalization: $6,604,859.92 USD
  • Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): $16,580,000.00 USD
  • Market Dominance: 0.00051%
  • Current Holders: 41,772 addresses

Supply Information:

  • Circulating Supply: 3,983,630,831.76 SWELL (39.84% of total)
  • Total Supply: 10,000,000,000 SWELL
  • Maximum Supply: 10,000,000,000 SWELL
  • Circulation Ratio: 39.84%

II. Project Overview and Technical Specifications

Project Introduction

Swell is a non-custodial staking protocol with a mission to deliver the world's best liquid staking and restaking experience, simplify access to DeFi, while securing the future of Ethereum and restaking services.

Technical Details

Token Standard: ERC-20

Blockchain Presence:

Blockchain Contract Address Explorer Link
SWELL 0x2826d136f5630ada89c1678b64a61620aab77aea Swell Explorer
Ethereum (ETH) 0x0a6e7ba5042b38349e437ec6db6214aec7b35676 Etherscan

Listed Exchanges: 1

III. Market Performance Analysis

Price Volatility Assessment

SWELL demonstrates significant price volatility characteristic of emerging cryptocurrency projects. The token has experienced a substantial decline from its all-time high, with a 94.62% depreciation over a one-year period. Recent 30-day performance shows a -42.059% decline, indicating continued downward pressure despite a slight 24-hour recovery of +2.02%.

Market Position

  • Global Ranking: #1377 (by market capitalization)
  • Market Cap to FDV Ratio: 39.84%

IV. Additional Resources

Official Channels:

Explorers and Data:


Report Date: December 23, 2025
Data Source: Gate Cryptographic Asset Database

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Swell Network (SWELL) Investment Analysis Report

Report Date: December 23, 2025


I. Executive Summary

Swell Network is a non-custodial staking protocol designed to deliver liquid staking and restaking solutions for Ethereum and DeFi ecosystems. As of December 23, 2025, SWELL is trading at $0.001658, down significantly from its all-time high of $0.19992 recorded on September 29, 2024. The token shows extreme bearish technical indicators, with a market capitalization of $6.60 million and a circulating supply representing 39.84% of total supply.


II. Core Factors Affecting SWELL Investment Viability

Supply Mechanism and Scarcity

Swell Network operates with a fixed maximum supply of 10 billion tokens. Currently, 3.98 billion SWELL tokens are in circulation, representing 39.84% of the total supply. The initial publication price was $0.05 (November 6, 2024), indicating a severe price depreciation of 96.68% to current levels.

Investment Implications:

  • Significant inflationary pressure remains as only 39.84% of total supply is currently circulating
  • Continued token releases may further suppress price recovery
  • Scarcity factors are currently undermined by substantial remaining supply

Technical and Ecosystem Development

Swell Network positions itself as a non-custodial staking protocol with the mission to simplify DeFi access while securing Ethereum's future through restaking services. The protocol operates on both the Swell Network chain and Ethereum, with verified smart contracts deployed on both platforms.

Ecosystem Factors:

  • Non-custodial design provides security advantages compared to custodial alternatives
  • Liquid staking and restaking are high-growth segments within the DeFi ecosystem
  • Early-stage protocol status indicates both growth potential and execution risks

Market Sentiment and Technical Indicators

Current technical analysis reveals extremely bearish conditions:

Indicator Value Signal
Average Directional Index (14) 52.51 SELL
Moving Averages (MA5-MA200) Various 0 Buy / 12 Sell Signals
Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28) 22.82 BUY
Market Emotion Index Neutral to Negative Extreme Fear

Price Performance:

  • 1-hour change: -0.72%
  • 24-hour change: +2.02%
  • 7-day change: -8.79%
  • 30-day change: -42.059%
  • 1-year change: -94.62%

Price Prediction Analysis

Market analysts provide widely divergent price forecasts, reflecting high uncertainty:

Conservative Scenarios:

  • End of 2025: $0.0016 to $0.00164114 (neutral to slight decline)
  • 2026: $0.0017 (based on 5% annual growth assumption)
  • 2030: $0.0020 (based on 5% annual growth assumption)

Optimistic Scenarios:

  • End of 2025: $0.030639 to $0.046298 range
  • These higher estimates lack detailed methodological basis in available data

Long-term Predictions (Note: High Variance): Certain sources provide extreme projections (e.g., $42.33 by December 2026, $29.12 by 2030) that appear inconsistent with fundamental analysis and should be treated with significant skepticism.

Risk Factors

Critical Risks:

  • Extreme price volatility and 94.62% depreciation over one year
  • Moving averages show strong sell signals with minimal buy signals
  • Early-stage protocol status creates execution risk
  • Highly sensitive to market shifts and ecosystem developments
  • Exchange security risks for token holdings

Liquidity Concerns:

  • 24-hour trading volume: $54,055
  • Relatively low volume may impede entry and exit positions

III. Market Position and Adoption

Swell Network currently ranks 1,377 by market capitalization with a market dominance of 0.00051%. The protocol holds 41,772 token holders, indicating a growing but still limited user base. The token trades on limited exchanges (confirmed on at least 1 exchange), which constrains accessibility and liquidity.

The protocol operates within the competitive liquid staking market, which includes established alternatives such as Lido Finance (stETH). The ability to differentiate through superior user experience and achieve meaningful adoption will be decisive for long-term valuation.


IV. Conclusion

Available market data indicates that Swell Network's investment case remains highly uncertain as of December 2025. Current technical indicators, severe price depreciation, and low trading volume present substantial headwinds. While the protocol addresses a legitimate market need within DeFi's liquid staking and restaking segments, execution risk remains elevated.

Analysts recognize that early-stage tokens like SWELL are highly sensitive to market dynamics, regulatory developments, and competitive pressures. Future valuation will depend critically on protocol adoption, competitive execution, and broader blockchain market development. Investors should base decisions on comprehensive fundamental analysis rather than price predictions, and should be aware of the extreme volatility characterizing this asset class.


V. Information Sources

III. SWELL Future Investment Forecast and Price Outlook (Is Swell Network(SWELL) worth investing in 2025-2030)

Short-term Investment Forecast (2025, short-term SWELL investment outlook)

  • Conservative Forecast: $0.001260 - $0.001658
  • Neutral Forecast: $0.001658 - $0.001990
  • Optimistic Forecast: $0.001990 - $0.002100

Mid-term Investment Outlook (2027-2029, mid-term Swell Network(SWELL) investment forecast)

  • Market Phase Expectation: Swell Network is transitioning from early adoption to developing ecosystem maturity. The protocol's focus on non-custodial liquid staking and restaking solutions positions it to benefit from growing Ethereum validator participation and DeFi expansion during this period.

  • Investment Return Projections:

    • 2027: $0.001451 - $0.001953
    • 2028: $0.001239 - $0.002479
  • Key Catalysts: Integration with major DeFi protocols, Ethereum ecosystem developments, expansion of restaking services, institutional adoption of liquid staking solutions, and market sentiment recovery.

Long-term Investment Outlook (Is SWELL a good long-term investment?)

  • Base Case: $0.002361 - $0.002775 USD (assumes steady protocol adoption and moderate market growth with stable Ethereum network participation rates)

  • Optimistic Case: $0.003500 - $0.005000 USD (assumes significant DeFi market expansion, mainstream institutional adoption of restaking services, and successful protocol scaling)

  • Risk Case: $0.000750 - $0.001200 USD (assumes regulatory headwinds, competitive pressures from alternative staking solutions, or adverse macroeconomic conditions)

Click to view SWELL long-term investment and price predictions: Price Prediction

2025-12-23 to 2030-12-31 Long-term Outlook

  • Base Scenario: $0.002361 - $0.002775 USD (corresponding to steady protocol development and gradual mainstream application advancement)

  • Optimistic Scenario: $0.003500 - $0.005000 USD (corresponding to large-scale adoption and favorable market conditions)

  • Transformative Scenario: $0.010000 USD and above (such as breakthrough ecosystem progress and mainstream popularization)

  • 2030-12-31 Predicted Peak: $0.0027748 USD (based on optimistic development assumptions)

Disclaimer: Price predictions are based on historical data and market analysis. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Actual results may differ significantly from forecasts. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.

年份 预测最高价 预测平均价格 预测最低价 涨跌幅
2025 0.0019896 0.001658 0.00126008 0
2026 0.001896752 0.0018238 0.001750848 10
2027 0.0019532898 0.001860276 0.00145101528 12
2028 0.00247881777 0.0019067829 0.001239408885 15
2029 0.0026752164087 0.002192800335 0.0016226722479 32
2030 0.002774769543909 0.00243400837185 0.002360988120694 46

Swell Network (SWELL) Investment Analysis Report

I. Project Overview

Basic Information

Swell is a non-custodial staking protocol with a mission to deliver the world's best liquid staking and restaking experience, simplify access to DeFi, while securing the future of Ethereum and restaking services.

Token Details:

  • Token Name: Swell Network
  • Token Symbol: SWELL
  • Algorithm: ERC-20
  • Total Supply: 10,000,000,000
  • Circulating Supply: 3,983,630,831.76 (39.84% of total supply)
  • Contract Address (Ethereum): 0x0a6e7ba5042b38349e437ec6db6214aec7b35676
  • Contract Address (SWELL): 0x2826d136f5630ada89c1678b64a61620aab77aea

Official Resources

II. Market Performance Analysis

Current Market Status (as of December 23, 2025)

  • Current Price: $0.001658
  • Market Capitalization: $6,604,859.92
  • Fully Diluted Valuation: $16,580,000.00
  • Market Dominance: 0.00051%
  • Number of Holders: 41,772
  • Daily Trading Volume: $54,055.00

Price Performance Metrics

Time Period Price Change Amount Change
1 Hour -0.72% -$0.000012
24 Hours +2.02% +$0.000033
7 Days -8.79% -$0.000160
30 Days -42.06% -$0.001204
1 Year -94.62% -$0.029160

Price Extremes

  • All-Time High: $0.19992 (September 29, 2024)
  • All-Time Low: $0.001497 (December 18, 2025)
  • 24-Hour High: $0.001679
  • 24-Hour Low: $0.001589

The token has experienced severe depreciation since its launch, declining by 94.62% over the past year. The price has reached its all-time low recently, signaling extreme market weakness.

III. Investment Strategy and Risk Management

Investment Methodology

Long-Term Holding (HODL Strategy)

Suitable for conservative investors with high risk tolerance and long-term conviction in Ethereum's staking ecosystem development. This approach requires patience through significant volatility cycles.

Active Trading

Dependent on technical analysis and swing trading operations, leveraging the token's high volatility for tactical positioning. Given recent price compression near all-time lows, traders may identify potential support levels.

Risk Management

Asset Allocation Guidance

  • Conservative Investors: Allocate no more than 1-2% of portfolio to SWELL due to extreme volatility and early-stage protocol status
  • Aggressive Investors: May consider 5-10% allocation if conviction in liquid staking thesis is strong
  • Institutional Investors: Limited exposure until protocol demonstrates sustainable revenue generation and market traction

Portfolio Diversification

  • Combine SWELL with established staking protocols (e.g., Lido) and broader ETH exposure
  • Balance with uncorrelated assets to mitigate staking protocol-specific risks
  • Consider allocations across multiple DeFi categories to reduce concentration risk

Security Considerations

  • Cold Storage: Recommended for long-term holdings using hardware wallets (Ledger, Trezor)
  • Hot Wallets: Use only for active trading with strict position limits
  • Smart Contract Risk: Exercise caution when interacting with protocol smart contracts during early phases
  • Exchange Security: Utilize reputable exchanges with strong security records for trading activities

IV. Investment Risks and Challenges

Market Risk

  • Extreme Volatility: 94.62% annual decline reflects significant price instability and potential for further downside
  • Low Liquidity: Daily trading volume of $54,055 indicates limited market depth, creating slippage risks for larger transactions
  • Price Discovery: With only one exchange listing, price formation mechanisms may be inefficient

Technology Risk

  • Protocol Maturity: As a non-custodial staking protocol, Swell faces technical risks common to early-stage DeFi platforms
  • Smart Contract Security: Potential vulnerabilities in staking and restaking mechanisms could lead to loss of funds
  • Ethereum Dependency: Protocol success is highly dependent on Ethereum's continued dominance and the viability of restaking solutions

Regulatory Risk

  • Staking Classification: Regulatory uncertainty surrounding staking protocols and their classification across jurisdictions
  • Policy Uncertainty: Different countries maintain varying regulatory approaches to DeFi and liquid staking services

Market Adoption Risk

  • Competition: Faced with established competitors offering similar liquid staking services
  • User Adoption: Limited holders (41,772) suggest early-stage market penetration
  • Yield Generation: Long-term sustainability depends on maintaining competitive staking yields and capturing market share

V. Conclusion: Is SWELL a Good Investment?

Investment Value Summary

Swell Network represents a high-risk investment opportunity within the liquid staking ecosystem. While the protocol addresses real pain points in Ethereum staking and DeFi accessibility, the current token valuation reflects significant market skepticism. The 94.62% annual decline and recent all-time low pricing suggest the market is pricing in substantial execution and adoption risks.

Investor Recommendations

New Investors:

  • Consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy with minimal position sizes (1-2% of portfolio)
  • Prioritize secure cold storage solutions for any holdings
  • Educate yourself on liquid staking mechanics and Ethereum ecosystem dynamics before investing

Experienced Investors:

  • Implement tactical swing trading around identified support/resistance levels
  • Build diversified positions combining SWELL with established staking protocols
  • Monitor on-chain metrics and protocol adoption indicators for entry/exit signals
  • Maintain strict stop-loss disciplines given volatility profile

Institutional Investors:

  • Conduct thorough due diligence on protocol governance and team track record
  • Consider strategic allocations only after demonstrating sustainable growth and market traction
  • Negotiate positions on regulated trading venues with appropriate custody solutions

⚠️ Important Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk of loss. This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial recommendation, or endorsement. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Participants should conduct independent research, consult qualified financial advisors, and only invest capital they can afford to lose completely. Regulatory changes may materially affect token value and trading availability.

Swell Network (SWELL) Frequently Asked Questions

FAQ

Q1: What is Swell Network (SWELL) and what problem does it solve?

A: Swell Network is a non-custodial staking protocol designed to deliver liquid staking and restaking solutions for Ethereum and the broader DeFi ecosystem. It addresses the challenge of enabling users to stake their ETH while maintaining liquidity to participate in other DeFi opportunities, and provides simplified access to advanced staking services and restaking mechanisms that secure Ethereum's future.

Q2: What is the current price and market valuation of SWELL as of December 23, 2025?

A: As of December 23, 2025, SWELL is trading at $0.001658 USD with a market capitalization of approximately $6.60 million. The token has experienced significant depreciation from its all-time high of $0.19992 (September 29, 2024), representing a 94.62% decline over the past year. The fully diluted valuation stands at $16.58 million.

Q3: What are the main risks associated with investing in SWELL?

A: Key risks include extreme price volatility (94.62% annual decline), low trading liquidity ($54,055 daily volume), early-stage protocol execution risks, smart contract security vulnerabilities, regulatory uncertainty surrounding staking protocols, and intense competition from established liquid staking alternatives. Additionally, with only 39.84% of total supply in circulation, future token releases may create further inflationary pressure.

Q4: What is the recommended investment allocation for SWELL tokens?

A: Conservative investors should allocate no more than 1-2% of their portfolio to SWELL due to its extreme volatility and early-stage status. Aggressive investors with strong conviction in the liquid staking thesis may consider 5-10% allocations. Institutional investors should maintain limited exposure until the protocol demonstrates sustainable revenue generation and significant market traction. All investors should use dollar-cost averaging strategies and maintain positions in secure cold storage.

Q5: What are the price predictions for SWELL through 2030?

A: Predictions vary significantly based on adoption scenarios. Conservative forecasts suggest $0.001260 to $0.001990 for 2025. By 2030, base-case scenarios project $0.002361 to $0.002775, optimistic cases estimate $0.003500 to $0.005000, while transformative scenarios could reach $0.010000 or higher. However, all price predictions carry substantial uncertainty and should not be used as primary investment decision drivers.

Q6: How does SWELL's token supply structure impact its investment potential?

A: SWELL operates with a fixed maximum supply of 10 billion tokens, with only 3.98 billion currently in circulation (39.84%). The remaining 60.16% of tokens will gradually enter circulation, creating continued inflationary pressure that could suppress price recovery. The initial launch price of $0.05 in November 2024 versus current $0.001658 reflects severe depreciation despite substantial supply remaining to be released.

Q7: What technical and security considerations should investors understand about SWELL?

A: SWELL is an ERC-20 token deployed on both the Swell Network chain and Ethereum blockchain. Investors should exercise caution when interacting with protocol smart contracts during early phases, utilize hardware wallets (Ledger, Trezor) for long-term holdings, and trade only on reputable exchanges with strong security records. Smart contract vulnerabilities in the staking mechanism could potentially result in loss of funds, making security practices essential.

Q8: Is SWELL suitable for long-term investment?

A: SWELL represents a speculative long-term investment opportunity with asymmetric risk-reward characteristics. Success depends on the protocol achieving significant adoption in liquid staking markets, executing technically superior solutions compared to established competitors, and benefiting from broader DeFi and Ethereum ecosystem expansion. However, the 94.62% annual price decline and technical sell signals indicate substantial current market skepticism. Only investors with high risk tolerance and strong conviction in Ethereum's staking future should consider meaningful long-term positions.

* The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Gate.
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