As the "Year-End Summary Day" on December 28, 2025 approaches, Pi Network has released multiple version upgrades, but large-scale supply and insufficient liquidity continue to constrain prices. This article analyzes in depth from four dimensions: version iteration, supply and demand balance, technical trends, and investment strategies, helping newcomers grasp the key points of rational layout.
Year-End Summary Overview
“Year-End Summary Day” is not only a ceremony to review annual achievements but also a window for the team to release the ecological roadmap to the outside. On December 28, 2025, the team may announce the launch dates and business partners for key DApps such as Pi Pay and Pi Market. In the short term, this can be seen as a “window of expectations,” but the specifics still need to be validated.
Version iteration and user experience enhancement
- v0.5.3 (early July): Refactored node synchronization logic, changed the original Pi Node to Pi Desktop, reduced hardware requirements, and increased node connectivity rate by 25%.
- v0.6.0 (expected to be released in August): Rumored to support on-chain smart contract calls, potentially laying the foundation for ecological applications.
- KYC Progress: Due to security audit requirements, the KYC approval period has been extended from 7 days to 14 days, as the team aims to avoid releasing too many tokens at once to prevent price collapse.
The impact of supply and demand balance on prices
As of now, the unlocked circulating PI accounts for 30% of the total; an additional 15% will be unlocked within the year. If the demand side—namely actual payment and transaction scenarios—fails to expand synchronously, excess supply will put continued pressure on prices. Currently, there is a lack of sufficient commercial incentives, and users are more likely to use PI for speculation rather than consumption.
Technical Indicators and Trend Analysis
- Moving Average System: Currently, the 50-day moving average is above $0.58, and the price continues to operate below the moving average, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
- Volume Bar Chart: Since May, the overall trading volume has declined, with no signs of a breakout in volume.
- MACD Indicator: The MACD line and the signal line are both below the zero axis. Although there are slight signs of a golden cross, it is not accompanied by an increase in volume, so caution is needed for false breakouts.
Comparison of Bull and Bear Strength
- Bullish view: Optimistic about the team’s technical strength and large user base. Once the key DApp is launched and gains market recognition, the price of PI is expected to see a substantial rise.
- Bearish view: Concerns about compliance risks and auditing issues. If a regulatory agency in a country issues a warning against Pi Network or there is a risk of centralized sell-off.
Community Governance and Compliance Progress
Currently, Pi Network has registered infrastructure companies in the United States, Singapore, and other places, and the team is promoting global compliance certification. If they obtain the “digital currency issuance license” or “payment license” before the end of the year, it will greatly enhance market confidence, but the approval time and results remain unclear.
Potential Catalysts and Bearish Factors
- Catalysts: Listing on mainstream exchanges, entry of strategic partners, key DApp practical use cases.
- Bearish factors: Accelerated token unlock schedule, tightening global macro crypto regulations, and significant Bitcoin pullback triggering a chain reaction of declines.
Investment Operation Strategy
- Enter in batches: Build positions at the key price levels of $0.40, $0.45, and $0.50 to average down the cost.
- Track key events: such as exchange announcements, team AMAs, version release conferences, etc.
- Take profit and stop loss settings: It is recommended to set the stop loss at $0.35, with take profit divided into two levels: the first level at $1 and the second level at $2.5.
- Control position: Total assets should not exceed 5%, be cautious of high leverage operations that may lead to liquidation risk.
Summary: Can it reach 10 dollars?
Overall, the Pi Network needs to rise from about $0.45 to $10 before December 28, overcoming more than 20 bottlenecks, including listing on major exchanges, the implementation of ecological applications, and a surge in user activity. For beginners, a more pragmatic goal should be to focus on opportunities in the $1–3 range, rather than blindly chasing extreme highs. Reasonable planning, phased deployment, and risk management are the solid investment strategies.
* The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Gate.
