Tron Price Prediction: Mid-to-Long Term Outlook Driven by Network Activity

1. Latest Updates on the Tron Network Ecosystem

Recent data shows that the total value locked (TVL) in the Tron network has surpassed $5 billion, indicating a continued warming of DeFi activities. In addition, the USD1 stablecoin launched by World Liberty Financial Inc. has gone live on Tron, further attracting both institutional and retail investors, enhancing network liquidity and trading depth.

2. The Impact of DeFi TVL and Stablecoins

DeFiLlama data indicates that after Tron TVL reached $5B, the growth rate has remained above 8% over the past 30 days, which means more assets are locked in smart contracts, bringing demand-side support for the TRX coin price.
The launch of USD1 stablecoin will also promote the demand for cross-chain and over-the-counter transactions. If more projects choose to issue assets on Tron in the future, it may further enhance the medium to long-term value of TRX.

3. CoinCodex Monthly Price Prediction

According to CoinCodex’s latest report, the average price of TRX is expected to be $0.3249 USD in June 2025 (an increase of 28.4%), $0.3131 USD in July (an increase of 15%), and is more likely to break $0.4371 USD in August.
This prediction is based on a comprehensive model analysis of on-chain data, market sentiment, and the macro liquidity environment, providing a reference range for medium to long-term investors.

4. Key Signals in Technical Analysis

• Sharpe Ratio: The Tron Sharpe Ratio has reached 8.3, indicating an advantage in risk-adjusted returns.
• RSI: The current RSI is in the 60 - 70 range, indicating that it is neither overbought nor does it lack upward momentum, suggesting there is still potential for further increases.
• Bollinger Bands: If the price can firmly close above the middle band at $0.275 USD, the lower band at $0.26 USD will form strong support, and after breaking through the upper band at $0.29 USD, the bullish momentum will significantly strengthen.

5. Long-term and Mid-term Strategy Recommendations

1. Buy on dips: It is recommended to gradually buy in the range of $0.265—$0.280 USD and hold until the potential high point area in August to September 2025.
2. Dynamic Take Profit: The first target can be set at $0.32—$0.35 USD. If the market continues to validate CoinCodex’s prediction, consider moderately locking in profits around $0.42—$0.45 USD.
3. Pay attention to on-chain metrics: regularly check changes in TVL, trading volume, and the number of active addresses. If a significant decline occurs, assess and adjust positions in advance.
4. Risk control: If the RSI exceeds 80 or there are signs of macro liquidity tightening, strict stop-loss strategies must be implemented to prevent short-term pullbacks.

Warm reminder: The information in this article is based on publicly available data and model predictions, for reference only. Investment carries risks, and one should proceed with caution when entering the market.