Will Bitcoin pump 25% and break through 140,000 USD? This article analyzes the latest technical analysis and capital inflow situation to interpret the upward space for BTC this quarter.
This quarter’s Bitcoin rise review
Starting from Q3 2025, the Bitcoin price has shown a strong rebound, rising from a low point of around 100,400 USD in June to break the historical high, reaching over 123,000 USD, and currently correcting to 118,200 USD. Market sentiment has gradually shifted from cautious to optimistic, with some analysts believing that this is just the beginning of the rise.
Latest prediction: pump 25%, target 140,000 dollars
According to a report by Finance Magnates cited by TradingView, expert analysis suggests that Bitcoin is expected to rise by about 25% within this quarter, with prices likely to challenge a new historical high between $140,000 and $145,000. This prediction is based on the resonance of several market indicators:
- The BTC price has broken through the key resistance of 110,000 dollars.
- Long-term holders have not shown significant profit-taking behavior;
- Investors have a loose expectation for the Q3 interest rate policy, which is favorable for risk assets.
On-chain metrics and market structure analysis
From on-chain data, multiple indicators support the pump trend:
- Increasing coin age (Coin Days Destroyed decreases): Indicates that old coins are not being frequently traded, and the main holders tend to continue holding.
- The number of active Bitcoin addresses is steadily increasing: on-chain activity reflects ecological vitality;
- Options market bets: A large number of options contracts have set the strike price in the range of $135,000~$150,000.
At the same time, the technical structure is also favorable for a pump:
- Form a daily level breakthrough platform;
- The 120-day moving average is turning upwards;
- The momentum indicator is in a healthy range, with no signs of overbuying.
Interpretation of ETF Inflow Data and Institutional Behavior
Another important driving force comes from the continuous inflow of funds into ETFs. As of mid-July 2025:
- BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) maintains an average daily inflow of over 100 million dollars;
- Fidelity and ARK Invest’s ETF product activity is on the rise;
- The total ETF holdings have surpassed 900,000 BTC, accounting for approximately 4.5% of the total supply.
In addition, institutions such as Morgan Stanley and Citigroup have also reaffirmed their long-term bullish stance. Many hedge funds have increased their positions in the $100,000 range, anticipating that Bitcoin will enter a new phase of price discovery led by institutions.
How should retail investors develop strategies?
How should ordinary investors respond to potential pumps?
- Cautiously optimistic, not blindly chasing the pump: Although the forecast is bullish, it is still necessary to guard against mid-course corrections;
- Can build positions in batches at low levels: Building positions in batches can effectively smooth out the risks brought by price fluctuations.
- Set profit-taking and stop-loss points: especially during high-level volatility, protecting profits is crucial;
- Pay more attention to on-chain indicators and ETF dynamics to improve the quality of trading judgments.
Conclusion
Will Bitcoin rise by 25%? From the current market data and forecasts, this possibility is gradually increasing. Whether it ultimately reaches $140,000 or not, it is clear that the BTC market has returned to strength. Rational investment and continuous attention to data are key to seizing the next wave of market trends.
* The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Gate.
