XRP Whales Offload Nearly 200M Tokens After Splashy ETF Debut

2026-01-28 11:09:59
Crypto Trading
ETF
Macro Trends
Stablecoin
XRP
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This article examines the contrasting dynamics following XRP's landmark ETF launch on Nasdaq. While the Canary Capital XRP ETF achieved exceptional first-day performance with $58 million in volume and $250 million in inflows, XRP whales dumped nearly 200 million tokens within 48 hours, signaling profit-taking and bearish momentum despite institutional enthusiasm. The article explores this divergence between whale behavior and institutional adoption, analyzes XRP's technical breakdown toward key support levels, and highlights regulatory tailwinds including the SEC's securities ruling and Federal Reserve Governor Waller's proposal granting crypto firms direct access to Fed payment systems. These developments present both opportunities and near-term challenges for XRP's market positioning and broader cryptocurrency sector adoption.
XRP Whales Offload Nearly 200M Tokens After Splashy ETF Debut

XRP whales have unloaded nearly 200 million tokens in the period shortly following the debut of the first US spot XRP ETF, dampening the excitement from one of the most anticipated launches in the asset's history. This massive sell-off represents a significant shift in whale behavior, as large holders appear to be taking profits rather than holding their positions during what many expected to be a bullish phase for the cryptocurrency.

In a recent post on X, on-chain analyst Ali highlighted that large holders "dumped nearly 200 million XRP in just 48 hours," a clear signal that the biggest wallets are selling into the post-ETF rally rather than accumulating. This selling pressure has created a notable divergence between institutional enthusiasm for the new ETF product and the actions of long-term large holders, raising questions about near-term price direction and market sentiment.

The selling comes at a pivotal moment for XRP, which currently ranks as the fourth-largest cryptocurrency with a market cap of roughly $136 billion. Despite this substantial market position, the cryptocurrency has experienced downward pressure, falling 4.3% within a short period, sliding from $2.31 to $2.22 and forming a clear lower-highs pattern that suggests near-term bearish momentum may continue.

XRP's SEC Triumph Paves Way for Blockbuster ETF Launch on Nasdaq

The XRP community has been celebrating a years-long legal victory over the US Securities and Exchange Commission, which in 2023 led a federal court to rule that XRP is not a security when traded on exchanges. This landmark ruling represented a watershed moment for the cryptocurrency industry, as it provided crucial regulatory clarity that had been absent for years and opened the door for institutional products like exchange-traded funds.

That ruling helped push institutions back toward XRP and set the stage for the recent launch of the Canary Capital XRP ETF on Nasdaq, which marked the strongest ETF debut of the year with $58 million in first-day trading volume and more than $250 million in inflows. The success of this launch demonstrates significant institutional appetite for regulated XRP exposure, even as retail sentiment and whale behavior suggest a more cautious approach.

However, whales appear unmoved by this milestone achievement. Crypto trader Tara warned that XRP is breaking down toward key buy levels around $2 and could drop further to $2.05 or even $1.88 unless Bitcoin stabilizes. She emphasized that volatility is likely to increase as XRP approaches these critical support zones, suggesting that traders should prepare for potential sharp movements in either direction.

The ETF's strong inflows have not been fully reflected in visible trading volume because the product uses in-kind creations, allowing institutions to exchange ETF shares directly for XRP without activity showing up on public order books. This mechanism explains the apparent disconnect between reported inflows and observable market activity. ETF analyst Nate Geraci explained that this structure is why the ETF posted relatively low visible volume but exceptionally high inflows, a pattern that may continue as institutional adoption grows.

At the same time, data from Nansen shows that top-performing "smart money" wallets added $44 million in long positions over the past day, suggesting that sophisticated investors see value at current levels despite the whale selling. This creates an interesting dynamic where different categories of large holders are taking opposing positions, potentially setting up for increased volatility as these forces compete.

The disconnect between whale selling and institutional interest may come down to broader market conditions affecting risk appetite across the cryptocurrency sector. The crypto market remains in a risk-off phase, with Bitcoin ETFs seeing $866 million in outflows during the same period, representing one of their worst sessions on record. This broader market weakness suggests that XRP's price pressure is not isolated but rather part of a wider flight from crypto assets during uncertain market conditions.

Ripple Welcomes Fed Proposal Giving Crypto Firms Access to Payment Rails

Recently, Ripple's chief legal officer, Stu Alderoty, expressed strong support for a proposal from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller to allow crypto companies access to "skinny" Fed accounts, suggesting this could fundamentally reshape the US digital asset landscape. This proposal represents a potential paradigm shift in how cryptocurrency companies interact with traditional financial infrastructure, potentially removing longstanding barriers that have hindered industry growth.

Waller argued that stablecoin issuers and other crypto firms should be able to tap directly into the Fed's payment systems, reducing reliance on traditional banks that often hesitate to serve the sector due to regulatory uncertainty and perceived risks. He urged regulators to "embrace the disruption — don't avoid it," signaling a more open stance toward decentralized finance and recognizing the potential benefits of integrating digital assets into the mainstream financial system.

Ripple, which previously applied for a Fed master account to support its RLUSD stablecoin, sees this idea as potentially transformative for its business model and the broader stablecoin ecosystem. The company has been working to position RLUSD as a competitive alternative in a market currently dominated by established players, and direct Fed access could provide a significant competitive advantage.

Alderoty told Reuters the proposal could speed up settlement times, lower transaction costs, and help RLUSD gain meaningful traction in a competitive stablecoin market where network effects currently favor incumbents. He added that having direct access to the Fed would dramatically improve stability and redeemability, enabling firms to move quickly between U.S. Treasuries and dollars without relying on banking middlemen who may be reluctant to serve crypto companies.

This regulatory development comes at a crucial time for Ripple as it seeks to expand its product offerings beyond cross-border payment solutions and establish itself as a major player in the stablecoin space. The combination of the recent XRP ETF launch and potential Fed account access represents two significant regulatory victories that could reshape Ripple's competitive position, even as short-term price action remains challenged by whale selling and broader market weakness.

FAQ

Why do XRP whales offload nearly 200 million tokens after ETF debut?

XRP whales likely sold tokens to take profits following the ETF launch and capitalize on increased market attention. This profit-taking is a common strategy when new institutional products boost trading volume and liquidity.

What impact does the XRP spot ETF launch have on XRP price?

XRP spot ETF launch can boost market confidence and institutional adoption. While direct price impact may be limited initially, increased trading volume and broader accessibility typically support longer-term price appreciation as the market matures.

What does whale offloading of XRP mean? What insights does it provide for ordinary investors?

Whale offloading signals potential market sentiment shifts and profit-taking after ETF enthusiasm. Ordinary investors should maintain rationality, avoid FOMO-driven decisions, and recognize this as a normal market cycle. Price volatility may intensify, requiring disciplined risk management rather than panic selling or blind following of whale movements.

How does XRP compare to other mainstream cryptocurrencies in terms of investment value?

XRP offers unique value through its fast settlement speed and enterprise adoption in cross-border payments. While growth potential varies, XRP's utility in financial infrastructure positions it distinctly compared to other major cryptocurrencies.

What is the significance of XRP spot ETF launch and how does it reshape XRP's market landscape?

XRP spot ETF launch enhances investor confidence and institutional adoption, reducing token supply while driving sustained capital inflows. This fundamentally reshapes market dynamics, supporting significant price appreciation through decreased circulation and increased demand pressure.

How do whale address trading behaviors affect the future trend of XRP?

Whale trading activities significantly impact XRP's price movements. Large transactions can trigger volatility, causing price surges or sharp declines. Historical data shows these major trades exert profound influence on market trends and future momentum.

* The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Gate.
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