Based on the latest market dynamics as of April 25, 2025, and the real-time行情 of Ethereum (ETH), combined with technical and macro factors, the following trading strategy has been formulated.

Core Strategy and Levels
1. Breakthrough Long Position
- Entry conditions: If the price stabilizes at $1,750 (April 23 closing price), and the trading volume increases at the 1-hour level, with MACD golden cross confirmation.
- Target: Looking short-term at $1,800-$1,830 (previous high resistance zone), and if broken, look towards $1,850 (weekly Bollinger Band upper limit).
- Stop loss: dynamically move up to below $1,730 to protect profits.
2. Support level rebound to go long
- Entry conditions: Price stabilizes in the range of $1,720-1,730 after a pullback (4-hour EMA30 support), combined with RSI oversold (<30) or bullish divergence signals.
- Target: Rebound to $1,750-$1,780, take profit in batches after breaking through.
- Stop loss: Strictly set below $1,700, with risk control within 3%.
3. Resistance level short sell
- Entry conditions: Price rebounds to 1,800-1,820 USD faces resistance, a 1-hour KDJ death cross or long upper shadow appears.
- Target: Pull back to $1,750-$1,760, break down to see $1,720.
- Stop loss: set above $1,830 to avoid false breakout risk.
Market Risks and Linked Factors
- Technical pressure: A double top formation is forming around $1,830 on the 1-hour chart, and failure to break through may trigger a pullback.
- BTC Correlation: If Bitcoin breaks through the resistance at $95,000, it may drive ETH to rise; if it falls below $92,000, it could drag ETH down.
- Policy Variables: Trump's cryptocurrency reserve plan boosts confidence in the short term, but the Federal Reserve's expectation to delay interest rate cuts until June (probability 55.8%) may suppress risk appetite.
- On-chain risk: The current price of ETH is approaching the maximum pain point of $1,750 for options. If it falls below $1,720, it may trigger over $120 million in liquidations.
Position and Risk Control
- Total position: ≤50%, single leverage ≤3-5 times, avoid heavy betting.
- Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set stop-loss levels. If ETH falls below $1,700 or BTC drops below $92,000, exit decisively.
- Replenishment plan: If the price急跌至 1,680美元下方, reserve 30% of funds for incremental entry, betting on a technical rebound.
Summary
ETH is currently in a fluctuation range of $1,720-$1,830, with a focus on a breakout strategy for the day. If it stabilizes above $1,750, you can increase your position accordingly; if there is a false breakout, you should consider shorting. Pay attention to the effectiveness of the double-top pattern at $1,830 and its correlation with BTC, and implement strict stop-loss measures to avoid chasing highs and selling lows. #成长值抽奖，赢MacBook Air和精美周边 #12周年庆典：齐享百万豪礼 #WCTC S7 报名开启 #ETH #BTC