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25/05/08 BTC broke through to 100,000, Ether's rise is coming, altcoins are oversold and a rebound is approaching.
The Federal Reserve announced that it will maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive time it has held steady, which aligns with market expectations, although there was an increase in June and July. In light of its dual mandate on inflation and employment, facing inflationary pressures from tariffs and economic uncertainty, it will adopt a wait-and-see approach, with no interest rate cuts expected in the short term, and policy decisions will be data-driven.
The BTC 4-hour rising channel has broken through to 99863, also coming just below 100,000. Ether has been oscillating for more than ten days, with a daily increase of 8.8%, which basically aligns with our previous predictions. The Beautiful Valley continues to rebound upwards, similar to BTC, both pointing towards a height of 0.886.
BTC
The 4-hour daily rising channel broke down to just below 100,000, with a pin at 99,863. The Fibonacci strong breakout at 0.618 occurred after the price retraced to 95,700 during the early morning FOMC, followed by a rebound and surge. Yesterday, it was also mentioned that if the second rebound truly breaks and holds above 0.618, there would be a chance to challenge 100,000, and today it's getting close.
The daily MACD continuing to cross the zero axis is a very strong signal. The crossover of the fast and slow lines does not rule out the possibility of reaching 0.886, which is 103000—106000.
Support: 93327—95700
Pressure: 102000—103333—106000
ETH
Ether has been consolidating for two weeks, and most people are feeling numb. During this time, I've been watching for Ether to catch up; yesterday I mentioned a rebound target of 2100—2300. The longer the narrow fluctuations last, the greater the accumulation of strength. The strategy for Ether is the same, aiming to buy on dips around 1730—1750. It rebounded after hitting a low of 1786 this morning.
The ETH/BTC exchange rate rebound has just begun. Since the rotation we mentioned earlier is still effective, we should pay attention to the oversold rebound of altcoins in the later phase.
Support: 1787—1873
Pressure: 2100—2300—2500#BTC突破99k #鲍威尔发言 #Tether增发10亿枚USDT