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Since last year, I've actually been busy with a lot of trivial matters and haven't been updating the content continuously. Starting today, I will fully invest myself again. Outlook for the June market and macro logic.
Bullish Basis:
The trend of Bitcoin stabilizes after a periodic pullback; this pullback is normal and not pessimistic.
Interest rate cut expectations (potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June 2025) and the favorable policies of Trump are driving the market to welcome the next surge in June.
Risk Warning:
If interest rate cuts are delayed or macro data deteriorates (such as a rebound in inflation), it may trigger a market correction. Attention should be paid to the correlation between the Nasdaq index and the cryptocurrency market, as the crypto space is gradually becoming more like the US stock market.
Ethereum (ETH) Operation Recommendations
Entry and Target:
Current price is $2510, it is recommended to accumulate in batches in the range of $2490-$2430.
Stop loss 2330
Take profit at 2750/2850, look for 3000+ after breaking the previous high.
Supplementary Logic:
Ethereum's recent TVL (Total Value Locked) reached $20 billion, and if the demand for DeFi or NFTs rebounds, it will directly take off.
Solana (SOL) Layout Strategy
SOL has performed mediocrely recently, as mainstream excitement has drawn funds back to the mainstream, while altcoin markets are bleak, and BSC has siphoned off a lot of traffic. However, smart money is slowly entering, quietly positioning itself alongside the smart money.
Current Dilemmas and Opportunities:
Short-term weakness: BSC ecosystem siphoning off users, on-chain active addresses decreased by 5% week-on-week, weighted financing rate turned negative (-0.0027%) extremely pessimistic.
Catalysts for rebound: Expectations for Firedancer upgrade (deployment in early 2025), progress on Solana ETF applications, or resurgence of Meme coin speculation.
Specific operation:
Current price is $150, buy in batches in the 148-143 range, stop loss at 138.8.
After taking profit at $178, observe whether it can break through the resistance zone of $190-200. If successful, it may start a strong bullish cycle (needs to be accompanied by increased trading volume).
How to make big money during this ascent is something everyone needs to think about. If you engage in short-term trading, it will be meaningless as the money earned in a short period can be completely lost due to the next reverse market move. During this time, you must hold onto medium to long-term positions. In May, I took a short position above 110,000, with a stop-loss at 128,000 and a take-profit target below 80,000.
Event Tracking:
June 12 Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (interest rate cut signal).
Solana ecosystem dynamics (such as whether Pump Fun will launch its own chain).
#BTC #ETH