#July PPI Beats Expectations 15 August, #机器人实战策略参考

1. Market judgment and strategy selection
The technical signal of Bitcoin is now quite contradictory, the daily Bollinger band has slightly opened and then stabilized, the MACD is close to the zero line with a bearish crossover trend, but not confirmed, showing a struggle between bullish and bearish; after a drop with increased volume, the volume continues to decrease, possibly entering a range of fluctuations between $117,000 and $120,000.
On the 4-hour chart, the lower Bollinger band is expanding downwards and the price has reached the lower band; the MACD formed a death cross and, after increasing, decreased, indicating that the bearish strength is exhausting in the short term, but the recovery needs to break above 120,500 dollars.
Seeing the major events, the annual PPI rate surged to 3.3% yesterday (well above the expectation of 2.5%), weakening expectations for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, causing BTC to lead a sharp decline in the market, with 210,000 liquidations in 24 hours, the market is now digesting this data and waiting for Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole meeting on August 22; if hawkish signals are issued, this could again trigger selling pressure.
In the short term, Bitcoin shows a downward trend, testing the key support level of $116,000; if it falls below, it could drop to $113,500.
The ETH/BTC rate has surpassed the 365-day moving average, showing relative strength, but the 4-hour RSI is oversold and the net flow on exchanges has increased, indicating short-term selling pressure, with support at $4,400 and resistance at $4,720.
From the perspective of ETF fund flows, the Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of $2.2 billion in the last 3 days (, significantly above the $330 million for BTC), but after a $1 billion inflow in a single day, there were call option sales, indicating that some of the funds are securing profits.
Additionally, ETH experienced a larger drop than BTC after the release of the PPI data, due to the concentration of leveraged positions, one must be mindful of the liquidity that may be affected by the expectation of tightening.
The currently suitable robot strategy is the combination strategy: Martingale on spot BTC/USDT + short selling in the ETHUSDT contract network.
2. Recommendations for practical strategies
Recommended strategy 1: short-term weakness, but evident support, one can position in the BTC/USDT spot martingale.
How much drop to increase the position: 1.5%;
Maximum number of increases: 6;
Profit ratio in each round: 2%;

Recommended strategy 2: possible reversal and weakness, one can position in a grid of ETHUSDT contracts for short selling.
Price range: 4320 dollars - 4820 dollars;
Leverage: 5 times;
Number of grids: 40
Expected time for the execution of the strategy: from August 15 to August 25;

Tip: The content above is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice. You may consult more information to make reasonable investment decisions.
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