#SOL价格预测    #Gate广场创作点亮中秋

The approval of the DOGE ETF inevitably reminds people of another main character that applied for an ETF recently - SOL. Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that SOL is expected to experience an epic rise by the end of the year! Several institutions (Grayscale, VanEck, Fidelity, etc.) have submitted applications for a Solana spot ETF, and the SEC is expected to make a decision by October 10. If it goes through, it can be said that a big wave for SOL is coming.

🙋🙋What impact will the SOL spot ETF have on the coin price in the short term?
Based on historical experience, I believe that after the SOL spot ETF is approved, the coin price will see a short-term increase.
Let's first review the performance of Bitcoin, ETH, and DOGE after the ETF approval:
--Bitcoin: After the approval of the spot ETF, the price of Bitcoin rose by 2.89% on the day the news was announced, reaching $46,738.1. Over the following three months, the cumulative increase reached 75%, and it set a new historical high of $73,000 in March 2024.
--ETH: Although the expectation of ETF approval once drove up the price of Ethereum, after the actual approval, the ETH price fell by 7.83%, dropping below $3200. This phenomenon of "good news fully digested" indicates that market expectations may have already priced in some of the positive news.
--DOGE: After the spot ETF approval, the price fluctuated upwards and broke through the resistance level of 0.256, with the market still optimistic about future increases.
It is not difficult to see that, apart from ETH showing a "good news fully priced in" trend against the backdrop of a bear market, other cryptocurrencies have all seen a surge following the approval of ETFs. This reflects a multitude of positive factors such as capital inflows and increased market demand.
     ✅ Surge in capital inflow: The approval of the ETF will open the "legal door" for institutional and retail investors to purchase SOL, especially traditional institutional investors, which is expected to bring in hundreds of billions in capital.
     ✅Direct demand increase: ETF managers need to purchase SOL in the spot market to support ETF shares, which will directly increase market demand. Referring to the Bitcoin ETF case, the inflow of funds into the U.S. Bitcoin ETF reached $33.6 billion in Q2 2025.
​​​✅ Market liquidity improvement: ETF shares held in SOL are typically locked for the long term, reducing the circulation in the secondary market, thereby lowering selling pressure.
✅Confidence Transmission Effect: The approval of ETFs is seen as a signal of regulatory endorsement, which will attract more traditional investors into the market.

📈📈 How much will the price of SOL rise by the end of the year?
After observing the calls from various experts, I believe that SOL will break through the previous high of 296 by the end of the year, reaching around 350 dollars.
From a fundamental perspective, the approval of the SOL spot ETF will lead to a massive influx of funds. Referring to the Bitcoin ETF case, the inflow of funds for the U.S. Bitcoin ETF reached $33.6 billion in Q2 2025. A similar scale of capital inflow could have a significant uplifting effect on SOL.
         ✅From a technical perspective, the Solana network underwent several significant upgrades in 2025, including: the approval of the SIMD-0326 proposal, which reduced block confirmation time from 12.8 seconds to 150 milliseconds; throughput increased to tens of thousands of transactions per second; the introduction of Firedancer to enhance stability, and the Alpenglow consensus mechanism achieving sub-second transaction finality.
✅From the K-line perspective, as of the time of writing, SOL is priced at $231, having broken through the long-term resistance level of $226 within the consolidation range. It is expected to further challenge the $250 mark. Technical indicators show that the MACD histogram remains positive but is gradually shortening, indicating a weakening of bullish momentum, while the RSI value is at 56, in a neutral range. In terms of trading volume, SOL's 24-hour transaction volume reached $8.965 billion, with a turnover rate of 7.47%, indicating high market activity.

❓❓What is the correct way to trade SOL?
✅Opening Strategy: I currently do not hold Sol. If you are also planning to buy Sol like me, you can buy it before the ETF approval. If the ETF is successfully approved, continue to hold. If it is delayed again, then you can sell. I am considering buying in the range of 225-230 and opening a small contract position.
✅Position Allocation: Proportion of Total Position: 15%. Among them, Spot Ratio: 75%; Contract (5x Leverage) Ratio: 25%
✅Trading Tips: If you are a long-term investor and, like me, are optimistic about the price of SOL at the end of the year, you can stake your held spot assets or do financial management on Gate to earn extra profits. The contract portion can also be handed over to a bot to start contract grid trading, allowing you to earn money while you relax.