Investment Value Chain: General Knowledge > Facts > Logic > Opinions

1. رأي (Opinion) - least reliability
What is: pure self-signals, feelings or messages from friends in the group.
Example: $PEPE must rise by 1000 times! The president's dinner for $TRUMP will surely lead to price increases.
Investment Inspiration: Pure noise, worth zero. If you are going to buy based on this, you are the "losing investor".
2. Logic ( - the story looks beautiful
What is: next xxx
Example: ) the speed is a hundred times faster than Ethereum, with no gas fees, BM is a genius programmer, third-generation blockchain technology. It will become Ethereum's killer, and the price of the currency will rise significantly.
Investment Inspiration: The story is very beautiful, but it may be carefully fabricated to make you pay. You need to verify whether the introduction of this "logic" $EOS A( and its conclusion )B( are correct.
3. Facts )Fact( - Real data
What is: Objective and verifiable data ) on-chain data, code, team background, real users (
Example: Check the facts:
How many daily active users )DAU( does Ethereum Killer have? )The truth may be a few thousand, a number that has significantly increased recently (is an odd number, truly a ghostly chain$STARK
How many contracts does )Validator( have? )There may only be a few, very centralized (.
What is the total value of locked assets )TVL(? )The truth may be that it has been boosted by self-issued tokens(.
How many DApps are there above?
Investment Inspiration: The truth is the needle that pops the "bubble" of "logic".
4. Knowledge )Common Sense( - The Relationship Between Risks and Returns
What is: the basic understanding of finance and human nature, is the highest level of judgment.
Example: For instance, $LUNA/UST) claims: "If you deposit our algorithm-based stablecoin )UST(, you can earn an annual yield of 20% with no risks."
Investment Inspiration: The basics tell you: there is no such thing as a "20% return" in the world without "risk." Where does this return come from? If you cannot find a reasonable and sustainable source ), such as it being paid from the funds of newcomers to the old ones (, then you are the source of the return, and this is essentially an unsustainable "Ponzi scheme."
Conclusion: Based solely on "common sense", you can outright reject this investment, and you do not need to analyze its complicated "logic" and "facts" ) because they may be fraudulent (.
Summary
The worst investment ) meme coin gamble (: Listen to the opinions ) "signals from the group" (, and believe in the logic ) "we want to surpass Dogecoin" (.
Better Investment )R&D Data(: Verified Facts )DAU and TVL(, Logic Analysis )Does it really solve the efficiency problem(.
Best investment ) shyness narrative (: using logic ) "20% return with no risk = impossible" ( to drop those traps "that seem too good to be true".