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#以太坊行情解读 Six years of persistence, looking at the truth of trading from a net worth of 9.8 million: Discipline always beats luck

People often DM me asking: how do I find coins that can make money? How can I avoid losing?

Honestly, my approach isn’t complicated; it’s just those simple principles that have kept me alive until today.

The most common scenario around me is like this: when the market moves, impulsively make a big move. The result? Either get wiped out or halve your account. I used to do stupid things like this when I was young, and now I realize those are lessons bought with real money.

Rather than keep paying tuition, it’s better to review the hardcore methodologies I’ve developed over the years:

**Tip 1: Choose coins by watching the top gainers list**

Why? It’s simple—coins that have risen show heat, buying interest, and followers. Coins that have been sideways for half a year and haven’t moved aren’t worth betting on. Time is the most scarce resource—don’t waste it on dead coins.

**Tip 2: Monthly MACD is my compass; I don’t look at the daily chart**

Most people get caught up in minute or hourly charts, constantly fiddling around, only to be repeatedly taken out by short-term fluctuations. I only care about the monthly MACD golden cross signal—if it appears, I go in; if not, I wait. I never bet on oversold rebounds—they’re basically giving away money. The real opportunities to make money are at turning points in long-term trends.

**Tip 3: Check the 60-day moving average daily; the 75-day is my lifeline**

When the price retraces to near the 75-day moving average and volume increases, that’s my signal to add positions. This tests your mental strength—you must grit your teeth and hold, not be scared out by short-term dips. If it breaks below the 75-day line, don’t say anything—immediately exit. I never break this rule; I don’t fight the market—capital is the most precious.

**Tip 4: Take profits in stages, lock in gains when the time is right**

Don’t expect to turn one trade tenfold. When it rises 25%, sell half to lock in profits; when it reaches 45%, sell the remaining half. Opportunities are always there—missed this time, the next will come. But if your capital is gone, the game is over.

In crypto trading, the simpler the methodology, the easier it is to execute properly. Those who dream of a sudden turnaround or a big comeback are mostly just fantasizing. The ones who can truly make steady money are traders who strictly follow discipline and are good at managing emotions.

Trend is king, risk control first.