Ethereum (ETH) January 21 23:40 Market Strategy

- Current Price: $2962, intra-day weak consolidation, dominated by bears.
- Core Viewpoint: Short-term rebound is weak, mainly shorting at high levels and buying dips; closely monitor BTC (support at 88000), strictly control position sizes and stop-losses.

Key Price Levels (USD)

- Resistance: 3000-3050 (strong resistance), 3100; Support: 2920-2950 (key), 2880-2900, 2780.

Short-term Trading Strategy (Risk Level: High)

- 【Bearish Strategy】
- Entry: Short in batches on rebounds at 3000-3020, exit immediately if it stabilizes above 3050.
- Stop-loss: 3050 (closing price).
- Target: 2920-2900 (R/R approximately 1:2), if broken, look at 2880-2780.
- Position: ≤20%, light positions, quick in and out.
- 【Bullish Strategy (Cautious)】
- Entry: Buy on dips at 2920-2930 and stabilize, build positions gradually.
- Stop-loss: 2900 (closing price).
- Target: 2980-3000, if broken, look at 3030-3050.
- Position: ≤15%, only aiming for technical rebounds.

Position and Risk Control

- Total position ≤30%, no single trade exceeding 20%, avoid heavy positions.
- Enter with stop-loss, execute immediately when triggered, no hesitation.
- Watch whether BTC breaks below 88000; if broken, ETH may accelerate downward to 2780-2600, reduce positions or exit promptly.

Trading Reminder

- News: US-EU tariff tensions, Japanese bond market volatility, risk aversion rising, increased volatility.
- Capital: Over $1 billion in futures liquidated in 24 hours, long confidence fragile, rebounds unlikely to sustain.
- Time Window: Evening BTC trend is critical; if it stabilizes above 90000, ETH may have a weak rebound. #感谢关注︱互动︱评论︱转发