2026-01-22 15:01:12

Looking at the performance of $RIVER, to be honest, I feel a bit hopeless. The remaining only $700 in funds is no longer enough to turn the tide. Even more heartbreaking is that the pattern of this coin's movement is almost identical to TRB's. I've been dominated enough already; I really don't want to repeat this show.

After careful comparison, the similarity can reach 85%. First, look at the trend type—both coins are in an upward trend on the daily chart, and both are stuck in the main acceleration phase of the trend. The early story is also the same: first decline, then consolidation, and finally a breakout. Once the central zone is broken, both experienced a series of consecutive large bullish candles.

The central structure is even eerily similar. $RIVER is consolidating around 1.616, TRB around 73.100, both forming a standard 3-phase daily central zone (down-up-down). The entire range is clearly defined, and after breaking through, both accelerated directly without any retest.

Speaking of strokes and segments, after breaking the central zone, both show continuous upward strokes, each more vigorous than the last—the candlestick bodies and volume gradually increase. Pullbacks? Those are just small adjustments on the 15/30-minute level; on the daily chart, there are no obvious top reversal patterns. This is a typical strong trend with weak retracements.

MACD tells the same story. When breaking the central zone, both coins showed a golden cross with increasing red bars, and DIF and DEA moved upward in sync. After entering the main upward phase, the red bars kept expanding, with no signs of divergence at the top. The DIF/DEA ratio for $RIVER, and the DIF=22.424 and DEA=15.305 for TRB, are still in the trend continuation phase.

Volume analysis also aligns. At the moment of breakout, the trading volume for both coins surged significantly, more than twice the average volume within the central zone. After entering the main upward phase, volume continued to gently increase, with no volume-price divergence—healthy and steady growth in both.

This is why I am collapsing—history really seems to be repeating itself.

TRB0,2%

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ForeverBuyingDips

· 01-25 14:55

Bro, your analysis is really on point, but I just can't stand RIVER anymore. It's been such a nightmare. Oh my god, it's another TRB clone. Is this dead cycle really unavoidable? 85% similarity? Then my $700 is probably wasted too. Just admit defeat, brother. Seeing how detailed your trend comparison is, I'm even more scared. Who can break the curse of history repeating itself? I've also looked into the central hub, pen, MACD setup. The key is that every time it dies in the main upward phase. So annoying. The price and volume rising together, huh? Fine, I'll believe it once more. But if I see another TRB story, I'll just sell everything. I know this feeling of being controlled all too well. I don't want to go through a mental breakdown again, bro.

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LayerZeroHero

· 01-25 13:34

Still hoping to turn things around with 700 dollars, dream on, buddy. But to be fair, RIVER's trend is really similar to TRB's. I've been burned too, it's truly exhausting. --- 85% similarity? Isn't that just repeating the blood, sweat, and tears story? Forget it, this time I'm going to lie low. --- It's always a three-part central pivot and MACD golden cross, each time tricking me into entering the market. This time I refuse to believe it. --- A breakout of the central pivot means a big bullish candle; if it doesn't break out, it's just wasting time. No wonder it crashes—anyone who touches it will have bad luck. --- Under the appearance of rising volume and price, you still don't know who's unloading at high levels. Stop falling for this trick. --- History repeats itself, no doubt, but this time the injured party has changed. I've learned my lesson.

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 01-22 15:31

Holding on to 700 dollars and refusing to let go, really, if you need to cut losses, just cut losses, brother. Repetition of history? Well, I guess we have to see it to believe it... Sigh, it's the same old trick, coming around again? I'm fed up. I should have run the moment the breakdown happened, now I regret it to death. No matter how perfect the technical analysis is, it can't withstand being smashed... Feels like we're about to repeat the same mistake again, really can't take it anymore. This time, be smarter, take profits when things look good, okay?

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MetaverseLandlord

· 01-22 15:15

700 dollars? Man, that must be so devastating. I feel for you.

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governance_ghost

· 01-22 15:04

Even 700 bucks are about to be lost, now I really see through it. History repeats itself, we are just repeating the fate of being cut again.

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