On February 1, 2026, at 12:00 (UTC+8), BTC experienced an intraday plunge, dropping to a low of approximately $75,500. It is currently trading around $78,000, with a daily decline of over 7%. Market sentiment is panic-driven, and the short-term outlook is bearish.

📊 Core Indicators and Key Levels

- Key Levels: Resistance at $80,000/$82,000; Support at $75,000/$72,000.
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are both in a bearish alignment, with price far from the averages, indicating a bearish dominance.
- RSI(: Below 30, entering oversold territory, possibly a weak rebound but not a reversal signal.
- MACD) Daily(: Bearish crossover downward, bearish momentum continues.
- Volume: Increasing downward volume, panic selling pressure releasing, making a quick short-term reversal unlikely.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (Short-term/Contracts)

- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at rebound levels of $79,500–$80,000, with a stop-loss at $81,000, target $77,000–$75,500, and a break below $72,000 for further downside.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, wait for volume to decrease and stabilize or for a secondary bottom to gradually add light positions, strictly limit to 3%-5% of total position, with a stop-loss below $72,000.

⚠️ Risk Warning

- Leverage Risk: High leverage currently increases the risk of chain reactions of liquidations; traders must use light positions and strict stop-losses.
- Capital Flow: ETF outflows persist, liquidity contracts, and selling pressure may amplify volatility.
- Correlation Risk: Fluctuations in US stocks, gold, and regulatory news may intensify BTC volatility.
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