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Trading is not gambling, but the ultimate execution of "Plan B"
ETH's fluctuations around 2100 have many people caught in a dilemma of black and white. But I believe that from a professional trader's perspective, there should be no "certainly," only "contingency plans."
Currently, my bullish plan is clear, but I leave enough buffer space to prevent being "proven wrong":
- Bullish contingency plan (Plan A): I prefer to look for support at 2050 (the previous box top) or 2030 (the channel bottom) after a break below the 2067 extreme point. If a bullish candle with more than 30% real body appears here, I will decisively enter.
- Range-bound contingency plan (Plan B): If the price consolidates in a narrow range around the 20 EMA, I won't blindly guess the direction within the range. I will wait for a "breakout + retest confirmation" combination, using the certainty of space to buy time safely.
- Reversal alert line (Risk Control): Trading cannot be wishful thinking. If the pullback develops into a series of full-bodied bearish candles breaking below 2010 (the lifeline of this wave's starting point), I will not hesitate to cancel all long plans.
Trading insights:
What we need to do is not predict where the price will fall, but to predefine **"at what level, what signals to look for, and how much position to take."** Leaving room ensures we won't be caught off guard when the market reverses.
#当前行情抄底还是观望? #ETH #职业交易员 #风险管理