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#比特币反弹 Recently, Bitcoin's price has plummeted sharply, falling below $80,000 on January 31 and dropping below $70,000 again on February 5. Currently, compared to the all-time high of $125,000 on October 12 last year, Bitcoin's market value has nearly halved.
Since the beginning of this year, cryptocurrencies have continued to decline. The prediction platform Polymarket shows an 82% chance that Bitcoin will fall below $65,000 this year, and the probability of dropping below $55,000 has risen to about 60%. Analysts believe that after this round of sharp decline, Bitcoin's upward momentum, market narrative, and its label as a “safe-haven asset” have almost simultaneously unraveled.
Jefferies economist Mohit Kumar stated in a report that holdings in software, technology stocks, cryptocurrencies, and precious metals are all heavy, and investors are adjusting their positions. He noted that concerns about crypto miners are intensifying and warned that if prices continue to fall, forced liquidations could occur.
Well-known investor Michael Burry warned that the ongoing decline in Bitcoin's price could “trigger a death spiral, leading to a massive collapse in value,” as Bitcoin has been exposed as a purely speculative asset and has not yet reached the level of gold and other precious metals as a hedge against devaluation. Burry gained fame for predicting the 2008 financial crisis.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hinted that the U.S. government will not bail out cryptocurrencies. When asked whether the U.S. Department of the Treasury has the authority to purchase Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, Bessent said, “I do not have the authority to do so, and as chair of the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), I do not have that authority either.”