Main Path

“Rapid rise met with resistance → Momentum weakens → Pullback confirms rhythm”

ETH Current Structure (15m + 1H)

Completed a wave of rebound
Price rose from around 2034
Touched as high as 2107 — 2110 area

Currently pulling back to around 2070

Belongs to:
Pullback phase after encountering resistance during a rally
Not a trend reversal

Technical Structural Features:
BOLL
15m:
Rally peaks at the upper band then pulls back
Middle band flattens
Price pulls back near the middle band
A correction after strong momentum

1H:
Upper band flattens
Price falls back near the middle band
If the middle band is broken
A deeper pullback will occur

MACD
15m:
Death cross formed
Bars turn green
Short-term momentum weakens

1H:
Bars shorten
Bullish momentum diminishes

RSI
15m:
Pulls back from high levels
Enters neutral zone

1H:
Pullback in strong zone
No obvious bearish divergence
But rhythm weakens

Overall Rhythm Judgment:
End of rally → Confirmed pullback → Awaiting support

Secondary Path
Support above 2070 holds → Retry 2100

If stabilized in the 2065 — 2070 range

May form
2065 — 2090 range consolidation

If re-establishing above 2090

Market may test again
2100 — 2110

Support Levels

2065 (short-term support)
2040 (structure confirmation)
2000 (trend boundary)

Resistance Levels

2090 (short-term resistance)
2107 — 2110 (previous high pressure)
2130 (extension target)

Alternative Path
Break below 2065 → Expand pullback

If breaks below 2065
And 15m cannot quickly recover

Market may pull back
2040

If 1H breaks below 2040

Structure will shift to
High-level pullback structure

Trading Suggestions

Trend-following long positions (conditional)

Pullback to 2040 — 2065 stabilize
Signs of stopping decline appear
Consider adding to long positions gradually

Stop-loss: below 2025
Target: 2090 → 2110

Short-term short positions (currently more optimal)

Rebound from 2075 — 2090 faces resistance
Light short positions can be taken

Stop-loss: 2115
Target: 2040

Rhythm Summary

Market is in:
1H bullish momentum diminishing
15m correction dominating

Core Logic:
High-level oscillation weakening
Avoid chasing longs

Conclusion
ETH is currently in
a pullback phase after rally

2065 is a key short-term level

Holding above keeps the range
Breaking below will lead to a deeper correction structure.