Time: 2026217

Cycle: 15m + 1H

Main Path
Oscillation correction → Key level selection → Volume increase determines direction

Current Structure (15m + 1H)

ETH rebounds from around 1926
Touches above 2008 at the highest
Then falls back to around 1970
Currently trading in the 1985 — 1995 range

It belongs to:
Rebound after range oscillation
Not a trend reversal

Technical Structural Features:

BOLL

15m:
Upper band begins to flatten
Middle band sideways
Price repeatedly around the middle band
Indicates an oscillation structure

1H:
Still within a downward channel overall
Significant middle band resistance
Above 2000 area faces technical pressure

MACD

15m:
Bars turn red
But momentum is weak
Indicates a corrective rebound

1H:
Still below the zero line
Trend structure is weak
Trend reversal not yet confirmed

RSI

15m:
Oscillates near the median
No extreme overbought signals

1H:
Weak recovery
Not entering strong zone

Overall Rhythm Judgment:

1H bearish structure
15m rebound correction
Belongs to
Oscillating consolidation within a bearish trend

Secondary Path
Range oscillation → Test of upper boundary fails

If the 1995 — 2005 range repeatedly faces resistance:
Possible retest of lower levels

1965 — 1950

Support Levels

1980 (short-term support)
1965 (structural support)
1940 (breakdown acceleration)

Resistance Levels

2000 — 2005 (current pressure)
2020 (structural resistance)
2050 (trend reversal confirmation)

Alternative Path
Volume breakout above 2005

If the 15m volume breaks above 2005
And stabilizes

Potential extension to

2020 — 2035

But as long as 1H has not effectively broken above 2050
It remains a rebound scenario

Trading Suggestions

Oscillation bias:

Rebound near 2000
If price stagnates with volume decreasing
Consider short-term light short positions

Stop-loss: above 2025
Target: 1970

Long position idea:

Rebound from 1965 — 1980 with stabilization
Consider low buy-in

Stop-loss: below 1940
Target: 2000

Rhythm Summary

Currently belongs to:

1H dominated by bearish trend
15m correction rebound

Core Logic:

Prioritize range highs
Follow through on breakouts
#我在Gate广场过新年