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The Only Correct Asset Hierarchy for Ordinary People During the US-Iran Conflict
(Assuming the US actually attacks Iran — this is the premise)
1. First, the conclusion (straightforward order)
In the early stages of war or major conflict, the correct asset hierarchy for ordinary people is:
First: Gold
Second: Cash
Third: Bitcoin
Fourth: U.S. Stocks. This is not a personal opinion, but a recurring capital flow pattern observed over the past decades.
2. First Priority: Gold (Structural Anchor)
At the onset of war, as the world enters a state of uncertainty, capital first seeks not returns,
but: certainty.
Gold’s only role is: hedging systemic risk.
It does not rely on any country’s credit,
nor on corporate profits,
nor on government stability.
It solely depends on: human fear of risk.
Therefore, during every war, gold almost always takes the: first priority.
It may not rise daily, but it will be the: first place where funds settle.
3. Second Priority: Cash (Survival Rights)
Many overlook cash, but in the early stages of war, the value of cash can suddenly rise.
Because: cash represents: choice.
When markets are highly volatile, only those holding cash
can: buy assets at low prices.
Those without cash can only: passively endure.
Cash is not for making money; it’s for: waiting for opportunities.
4. Third Priority: Bitcoin (High Volatility Opportunity Asset)
Bitcoin is not a traditional safe-haven asset; it’s more like: a highly elastic asset.
At the start of a war, Bitcoin may decline because capital initially flows into gold and USD.
But as markets gradually stabilize and liquidity is re-released, Bitcoin often: rebounds quickly.
Its characteristic is: high volatility, but also fast recovery.
Thus, it belongs to: opportunity assets, not defensive assets.
5. Fourth Priority: U.S. Stocks (Last to Recover)
Many believe they should buy U.S. stocks during war,
but history repeatedly shows: U.S. stocks tend to be under pressure in the early stages.
The reason is simple: corporate profits are affected, and market risk appetite declines.
However, once the war stabilizes, U.S. stocks usually: gradually recover, even reaching new highs.
Therefore, U.S. stocks are not first-phase assets but: late-stage assets.
6. The True Core Logic: Not the assets themselves, but the order
During war, assets do not move up and down together,
but: rotate.
The typical sequence is:
Phase One: Gold and cash first
Phase Two: Bitcoin begins to recover
Phase Three: U.S. stocks re-enter an upward cycle
Understanding the sequence is more important than predicting rises or falls.
7. The Biggest Mistake for Ordinary People: Wrongly Staging the Order
Many people in the early stages of war: sell gold, buy stocks at the bottom, or heavily invest in high-risk assets.
The result is: assets decline first, and psychological breakdown follows.
Not because the assets are poor, but because the: order is wrong.
8. The Truly Safe Approach: Not prediction, but sequencing
No one can accurately predict war,
but they can: adjust the asset order.
When the world is uncertain, stand on the safe side first.
When stability returns, then move into risk assets.
This is not conservatism; it’s: survival.
9. The real keyword for the next 6 months is not war,
but: volatility.
Volatility means: risk,
and also: opportunity.
But opportunities only belong to: those who survive.
10. Final Words (The Core of the Entire Text)
War will not notify you in advance,
but the asset order will tell you ahead of time.
First, stand on the side of gold and cash,
then wait for opportunities to enter risk assets.
This is the only correct order for ordinary people to navigate turbulent cycles.