ETH Wave Structure (1H)

Trend Judgment

After the 1796 low, the market has completed a true structural reversal.

Currently trading between 2050 and 2065.

Overall it belongs to:

✅ End of Bearish Phase → Bullish Trend Initiation Stage
✅ Not a rebound, but a trend continuation upward

👉 Upward consolidation, not a top

Market Real State (Institutional Rhythm)

Current stage:

Initiation → Acceleration → Sideways Lock-in

What you are seeing now is:

👉 Institutional Lock-in Zone

Not distribution.

Institutional True Rhythm:

Sharp decline to shake out (1796)
↓
Rapid rally to break away from cost basis
↓
Breakthrough of trend level 1950
↓
Sideways accumulation (now)
↓
Next wave of trend advancement
Key Levels
Support Zone (Institutional Cost)

2040: Short-term Defense

2000: Trend Lifeline

1950: Breaks Bullish Structure

Resistance Zones

2080: Short-term Resistance

2145: Previous High Strong Resistance

2200: Trend Target Level

Trading Strategy (Real Institutional Trading Version)
✔️ Main Approach — Trade Long in Line with the Trend (Core)
Long Plan

① Pullback Buy (Best)

2040 — 2010 in batches

Stop Loss: 1985

Targets:

2080

2145

2200+

② Strong Breakout Follow-up

Break 2080, then pull back without breaking

Can chase longs

Stop Loss: below 2050
Targets: 2145 → 2200

✔️ Secondary Approach (Only for Experts)

Near 2145:

Appearance of:

Volume surge and rise then fall back

Upper shadow

MACD divergence

Only then consider shorting.

Otherwise:

❌ Do not short.

✖️ Most Dangerous Current Behavior

Counter-trend shorting

Thinking it has risen too much

Guessing the top

Waiting for a drop to 1800

This is where most people get eliminated by the trend.

Core Message (Current Market)

ETH has shifted from a bearish market to a trending bullish market.

The market has transitioned from:

Decline → Rebound

To:

Trend initiation → Consolidation → Next major rally