Stop staring at the candlesticks. Tonight, the whole village's hopes rest in Uncle Powell's hands.

At 2:00 AM Beijing time on March 19, the Federal Reserve is opening another "mystery box" meeting. The market consensus expects the interest rate to remain unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. The real killing blow is hidden in the dot plot during the second half of the night.

The current script is extremely torn:

On one side, Middle East tensions are escalating, oil prices are surging toward $100, and inflation pressure is making a comeback;

On the other side, weak non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate approaching 4.4%, and economic pressure mounting.

The Fed is essentially walking a tightrope over a volcano — raising rates risks economic collapse, lowering rates risks inflation exploding.

The most critical dot plot will likely slash last year's "three consecutive cuts" down to just 1 cut or even zero rate cuts — going full hawk.

If Powell's remarks at 2:30 AM lean hawkish and characterize the oil price surge as long-term pressure, risk assets will likely experience a sharp selloff.

If the dot plot median shifts up even slightly, ETH and altcoins tonight will probably crash hard.

High-leverage traders' recommendations:

Either take profits early for peace of mind, or prepare your "emergency heart pills."

Under stagflation shadows, rate decisions are best at whipsawing both sides and liquidating both bulls and bears. #Gate广场AI测评官 #SEC与CFTC新监管指引 #伊朗确认拉里贾尼遇害