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Black Swan Incoming?
Yes, it's coming soon!
Oil is the key to this war. Only when the US completely controls oil and the dollar index makes a strong comeback will this war end.
Currently, the war is intensifying. The dollar index will continue to rise and break through the 100 mark, reaching 107-108. Crude oil prices will quickly stabilize above the $100 per barrel mark within the next 2 weeks, surging to $120 or even $150 per barrel!
Besides the dollar index and oil prices, all other assets will face black swans!
Black Swan One: Gold!
Last year, gold dominated credit currencies and weakened the dollar, which contradicts dollar hegemony. Therefore, this is the key to this war—to crush gold prices and restore the dollar's role as the global credit currency, restoring dollar hegemony. Gold must die. So when gold was at 5400-5200, we aggressively bet on a decline. The black swan is happening!
Black Swan Two: US Stocks!
Taking the Nasdaq index as an example, the technical pattern is a very obvious head and shoulders top; macroeconomically, influenced by the lifeblood of industry (crude oil), inflation has occurred in the economy, greatly raising enterprise operating costs and causing corporate profits to plummet! This will significantly impact the stock market. The Nasdaq index will soon break below 24000. Once 24000 fails to hold, it will quickly drop smoothly. First target 22000, second target 18000! It will also crash the global financial market. This black swan, though delayed, is inevitable!
Black Swan Three: Crypto!
As the invisible tech stocks, as the Nasdaq's little brother, when US stocks crash, crypto crashes! Additionally, the technical pattern is a classic bear flag! Bitcoin at 60k will soon be seen. Wait to crash with your big brother!
#黑天鹅 # Gold #BTC # Crude Oil #Dollar Index