Strategy Stock (MSTR) Set for 45% Jump? Why This 5-Star Analyst Says ‘Buy’ Now

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Strategy (MSTR) stock has lost 9% so far in 2025 due to falling Bitcoin prices and a general cooldown in the crypto market. But even after the pullback, the stock has received a bullish start from Texas Capital Securities, which sees strong upside from current levels. The 5-star analyst Randy Binner has initiated coverage on MSTR with a Buy rating and a $200 price target, implying about 45% upside.

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Why This Top Analyst Is Bullish on Strategy

Binner sees Strategy as a leader in digital asset treasury, with Bitcoin at the center of its business. The stock has moved up and down with Bitcoin prices, but the company is focused on growing Bitcoin per share over time.

He also said Bitcoin is becoming more accepted in the financial system. A more supportive regulatory stance and rising adoption of Bitcoin by companies and financial markets suggest it is now a more established asset. He added that Bitcoin is treated as a Level 1 asset, with clear mark-to-market reporting, so investors can track its value each quarter.

The firm now expects Bitcoin prices to grow about 10% a year and sees around $17 billion in capital raised in 2026, with about $7 billion already raised this year. It applies a 1.19x mNAV multiple, pointing to a $200 price target by early 2027.

Overall, Binner is confident in the company’s leadership, its digital credit products, and changes in its software business, including its Mosaic platform shift, which could support further upside.

Is Strategy a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Turning to Wall Street, analysts have a Strong Buy consensus rating on MSTR stock based on 11 unanimous Buys assigned in the past three months, as indicated by the graphic below. Furthermore, the average MSTR price target of $291.82 per share implies 111.10% upside potential.

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