Whether your market predictions are correct or not is not the fundamental reason that ultimately determines whether you can make money. Many people can predict major market movements or make substantial profits early on, but ultimately end up operating with various undisciplined strategies due to their own nature, eventually losing everything and exiting the market. The greed, anger, delusion, arrogance, and doubt that arise during this process are what you truly need to think about how to overcome. In comparison, win rate is the least worthy factor to mention.