The big drama between Iran and the U.S., I’ve seen the script clearly from day one, with no surprises throughout. It’s all a card the Americans have been playing openly, every step within their calculations, there’s no such thing as a “sudden turn of events.”

From the initial verbal sparring and tough talk, to the U.S. precision strikes on Iran’s infrastructure, and now Iran’s willingness to sit down and negotiate, the entire rhythm has been tightly controlled by the Americans from start to finish.

The U.S. has never intended to flip the table and escalate to full-scale conflict; they can’t afford to, nor do they need to. What they want is this “manageable tension”—to hurt Iran enough to make it understand who’s the boss in the Middle East, without completely blowing up the situation. Meanwhile, they’re also boosting the dollar index and harvesting global risk assets—an all-in-one move that’s more clever than anyone else.

Those countries that jump out to act as mediators, whether Pakistan or others, are just American-approved messengers with no real power. The U.S. hasn’t given them any negotiation chips; they just need a stepping stone for Iran to sit at the bargaining table with dignity. The so-called multilateral mediation is just a veneer for this unilateral pressure, dressed up in diplomatic fancy.

Iran’s willingness to talk isn’t a sudden realization; it’s because they simply can’t hold out anymore. After so many years of economic sanctions, domestic hardship has reached a breaking point