Gate News Report: On March 24, the latest data from Polymarket showed that market odds for Opensea issuing a token before September 30 this year have dropped to 33%, while the probability of token issuance before December 31 stands at 69%. The current trading volume on this prediction market has reached $1.238 million.

Gate News Report: On March 17th, Polymarket prediction market data shows that the market odds of the Federal Reserve cutting rates once by 25 basis points this year stands at 30%, with a 23% probability of no rate cuts, and a 23% probability of two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points. The prediction market has currently exceeded $10.25 million in trading volume.

Kalshi predict market platform announced that it will offer a $1 billion reward to users who perfectly predict NCAA March Madness game results, despite extremely low odds (1 in 120 billion). Comparatively, the best predictor will win $1 million, while another $1 million will be donated to charity. This activity references a similar reward from Buffett, which has had no winners since 2014.

Gate News 消息，3 月 16 日，Polymarket"特朗普将于 3 月 31 日前访华"事件概率短时跌至 49%，24 小时跌幅 16%，交易量超 300 万美元。此外，"特朗普将于 4 月 30 日前访华"事件概率暂报 77%，交易量同样超 300 万美元。

Gate News report, on March 13, Polymarket prediction market data shows that the probability of betting "Based FDV breaking through $100 million within 1 day after launch" has decreased to 45%. Additionally, the probability of breaking through $200 million within 1 day after launch is 19%, and the probability of breaking through $300 million within 1 day after launch is 7%. The trading volume of this prediction event has exceeded $3 million.

Polymarket prediction market shows an account betting $90,000 on Iran regime collapse by April 30 and June 30, with current odds at 23.5¢. Iran's internal factional divisions are evident, Supreme Leader Khamenei has not made public appearances, emphasizing hardline foreign policy positions.