⚠️ Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision · Operational Risk Alert
⏰ Key Time: Beijing Time March 19, 02:00 Decision Announcement / 02:30 Powell Speech
🔴 Core Risk Alerts
1. Current Probability: CME data shows March rate hold probability at 99.1%. Rate cut expectations have largely been priced into the market. Any hawkish surprise or strong language from Powell could trigger volatile swings.
2. Amplified Volatility: Middle East conflicts + elevated oil prices make market sentiment extremely sensitive. Extreme price action such as wicks, flash crashes, or liquidity drains are highly likely bef
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