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March 18th showdown with the Fed! Can the lottery odds win the jackpot!
The Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced early Thursday morning. Even though the market expects with 99% certainty that there will be no rate changes, the Fed's focus has never been on the data itself. Everything in the speculative market moves following expectations. Therefore, Powell's remarks and subsequent economic intervention policies are the key points. Please pay attention to the details of the FOMC meeting early in the morning.
BTC: Currently, no obvious trend reversal signals have appeared at the major level. After the prolonged consolidation in February and the breakthrough in March, we are now approaching the resistance area ahead. The first round of targets has basically been completed, taking a brief rest to see whether we sound the retreat or continue pushing forward to "let the bullets fly for a while." Intraday, pay attention to the 74400-74900 small box, which has formed short-term price suppression. Support below is at 72200-73000 box. The middle area between the two boxes is the shock trading zone we can operate in. Both high shorts and low longs are viable. If you only want to trade trending moves, you can wait for the news to land before seizing opportunities. After all, BTC's target of 78500 hasn't been reached yet, and there's plenty of room.
ETH: Night trading is performing weak consolidation at the lower band of yesterday morning's 2340-2380 box. Currently formed a new consolidation box with 2300 as the lower band and 2340 as the upper band. Watch this level—if it breaks above 2340, it will charge toward higher targets. There's still plenty of space above 2380, and we can see the 2800 major box as the repair target for bulls. If it breaks below 2300, weakness consolidation can find space at 2268. The major level still shows bull strength. Short positions can only participate with small positions. Personally, I prefer to look for opportunities to add longs to bet on the next round of increases.