To be honest, when I saw the big bullish candle for DOT, my first reaction was: This thing finally moved. I wonder if you guys have the same feeling. The Polkadot project is well known; it used to be a star blockchain alongside Ethereum and Solana. But in the past two years, it’s like it disappeared. Its price has been hovering at the bottom, bouncing between $1.2 and $1.5, and many people have already removed it from their watchlists. But today is different. It shot up to a high of $1.75 within 24 hours, a gain of over 30%. Why the sudden surge? I looked at the market news, and there are mainly two reasons. The first is supply reduction. On March 14, Polkadot will undergo an important issuance cut, with the annual inflation rate expected to decrease by about 50%. Simply put, less new coins will be produced, and if demand stays the same or increases, the price will naturally find support. This narrative has always been popular in the crypto space—reduction, deflation, increased scarcity—these are classic catalysts for price increases. The second is ETF expectations. In the recent spot ETF application submitted by 21Shares, it explicitly mentioned that staking DOT can generate yields. This detail is quite interesting. If it materializes, it would add a yield-generating layer to the ETF, making it much more attractive to traditional investors. Looking at the chart, the 4-hour MACD is still in a bullish alignment, with DIF and DEA both above the zero line, indicating that medium-term upward momentum is still there. However, trading volume has shrunk compared to the high point, and the 7-day moving average is around 1.6. The short-term chasing profit at this level isn’t very cost-effective. My thinking is that for such an established blockchain, after being stagnant for so long, a sudden volume surge usually isn’t just retail traders pushing it up and then leaving. It has some community consensus foundation, and the community is still active. Now with the stories of supply reduction and ETFs, there’s at least some topic to talk about. So I plan to wait for a pullback before considering further action. If it can hold below 1.6 steadily, I might buy in gradually. I’m not saying it will skyrocket immediately, but for a coin that used to be a hot topic, with its price at a low and new narratives emerging, the risk-reward ratio is acceptable. Of course, this is just my personal trading idea. The market is always uncertain—how it will move after the supply reduction, whether the ETF will pass smoothly, nobody knows. Do your own research and don’t get too caught up.

【$TON Signal】1H timeframe buildup, waiting for breakout confirmation, dual-side pending orders for sniping $TON The 1H timeframe is oscillating narrowly around EMA20 (1.2947), with prices compressed within a very small range of 1.29-1.293. This is a typical buildup pattern before a trend reversal. The 4H timeframe remains in a downtrend, but the current candlestick shows a long lower shadow, indicating strong buying interest in the 1.27-1.275 area below. Negative funding rate (-0.0159%) and stable open interest suggest a risk of short squeeze. The current price is at the end of a 1H triangle convergence, about to choose a direction. 🎯 Direction: Wait and see (dual-side pending orders) ⚡ Breakout buy order: 1.2950 - 1.2980 (Reason: Valid breakout above 1H EMA20 and the upper boundary of the dense trading zone on the hourly chart) ⚡ Pullback buy order: 1.2780 - 1.2810 (Reason: Rebound to previous support on the 4H timeframe and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level) 🛑 Stop loss (long position): 1.2700 (Reason: Break below the key previous low on the 4H timeframe, structure breakdown) 🚀 Target 1 (long position): 1.3150 (Reason: Resistance at 4H EMA20 and previous rebound high) 🚀 Target 2 (long position): 1.3350 (Reason: Strong resistance zone at 4H EMA50) 🛡️ Trading management: - Position suggestion: Light position. Reason: The trend is unclear, wait for breakout confirmation to maximize gains with minimal risk. - Execution strategy: If a long position is triggered, reduce half at Target 1, and move stop loss to entry price. Hold remaining position for Target 2. If price cannot stabilize above entry zone, exit immediately. Depth logic: Market depth shows buy orders significantly thicker than sell orders (depth imbalance -14.03%), with large buy orders accumulated around 1.288-1.29, indicating clear support from major players. The 1H RSI (47.57) is in a neutral-weak zone, with room for upward correction. Key point: whether the price can volume-stably hold above 1.295, which will trigger short stop-losses and long chasing. If it drops directly, around 1.278 is an excellent entry point. View real-time market 👇 $TON --- Follow me: Get more real-time analysis and insights on the crypto market! $BTC $ETH $SOL

【$POL Signal】Two-way Pending Order Script! 4H Triangle Convergence at the End, 1H Waiting for Direction Choice $POL The 1H timeframe is oscillating narrowly between 0.1095-0.1115, with the price suppressed below the 1H EMA20(0.1121). Short-term momentum is weak. However, the 4H timeframe is forming a clear symmetrical triangle convergence, with the price reaching the end and about to choose a direction. Open interest(OI) remains stable, not significantly flowing out as the price drops, indicating a standoff between bulls and bears. Market depth shows a sell wall around 0.1107, but there is a thicker accumulation of buy orders below, with 0.1100 being a key psychological level. 🎯Direction: Watch(Two-way Pending Orders) ⚡Breakout Long Entry: Price > 0.1118 (Reason: Breaks above the 1H EMA20 and the upper trendline of the triangle, confirming bullish momentum) 🛑Stop Loss: 0.1095 (Reason: Breaks below the triangle’s lower trendline and recent swing low) 🚀Target 1: 0.1142 (Reason: Previous high resistance level) 🚀Target 2: 0.1170 (Reason: Previous high area on the 4H timeframe) ⚡Pullback Long Entry: Price < 0.1095 (Reason: Precise retest of the triangle’s lower trendline and strong support zone, playing the rebound) 🛑Stop Loss: 0.1080 (Reason: Breaks below recent 4H low support) 🚀Target 1: 0.1118 (Reason: Retest of the triangle’s upper trendline and 1H EMA20) 🚀Target 2: 0.1142 (Reason: Same as breakout target) 🛡Trade Management: - Position Size Suggestion: Light (Reason: Direction is unclear, belongs to a left-side game, higher risk) - Execution Strategy: If any pending order is triggered, and the price quickly reverses and breaks through the entry point, exit immediately. After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50% and move stop loss to the entry point. Depth Logic: Current market logic indicates “price decline, combined with open interest analysis,” but OI remains stable, not signs of main force unloading, more like a shakeout after bullish liquidation. 1H RSI(40.25) is in a neutral to weak position, with rebound potential. The 4H EMA50(0.1085) is a strong support below. The key is whether the price breaks above 0.1118 or holds at 0.1095, which will determine the next short-term direction. View real-time market 👇 $POL --- Follow me: Get more real-time analysis and insights into the crypto market! $BTC $ETH $SOL ‍#我在Gate广场过新年 #加密市场反弹