The scene exposed by the Maduro事件 really reveals the essence of prediction markets. $400,000 in profit, a 1200% surge, precise bets made just hours before the action—this is not trading, it's blatant information arbitrage.

Even more astonishing is the account called Chiwawas, which heavily invested 40,000 on December 26th. Due to weather delays, the entire December resulted in losses, almost wiping out the account. Yet, just three hours before the move, it went all-in and turned the tide. This timing was too perfect, so perfect that only those with reliable intelligence could achieve it.

From a copy-trading perspective, this serves as a wake-up call: although prediction markets have clear trading logic, information asymmetry decides everything. Accounts that suddenly heavily buy at low levels, wallets with no trading history, unusually precise timing windows—these are all red flags. If you want to follow on Polymarket, the key is to avoid suspicious insider accounts and instead look for traders who base their decisions on public information and rational analysis.

It’s not surprising that U.S. lawmakers want to legislate against this; after all, financial markets hate information asymmetry the most. But honestly, how difficult is it to truly prevent such operations on fully decentralized on-chain platforms? Everyone knows the answer. Instead of relying on regulation, it’s better to learn how to protect yourself in a wild-growing market—be cautious about who you follow, enforce strict stop-loss rules, and never chase after hype at the top.

Experience has shown me that the real profit in copy trading comes from following traders who are long-term stable, transparent in decision-making, and have proper risk controls, not those flashy accounts that suddenly make a big splash.