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#2026年BTC价格展望 BTC 1-hour level what exactly is going on now? I just reviewed the recent trend, combined with on-chain real data, and I’ll share what I see.
On the technical side, the BOLL bands are spreading downward, and the price is repeatedly testing between the lower band and the middle band (currently at 89230, middle band at 90416), a typical bearish pressure. However, watch out for signs of accumulation around 88338—that’s no small matter.
The MACD shows some interesting signs—DIF is still below DEA (530.9 vs 646.5), but the green histogram has shrunk to -231.2, indicating that the bears are losing momentum on the hourly level. A potential bullish divergence might be brewing, so stay alert.
Key levels to remember: the upper BOLL middle band at 90400 is a strong resistance; breaking above it could push toward 92000. The critical support is at 88300—if volume breaks below that, then 87000 becomes the next test.
On-chain data: whales have added about 12,000 BTC in the past 24 hours (according to Glassnode), while exchange net outflows have risen to 38,000 BTC—that suggests informed funds are accumulating at low levels. Don’t be fooled by surface panic.
Options market: the PUT/CALL ratio has fallen to 0.45, amplifying market fear, but this also increases the risk of a short squeeze. The latest Federal Reserve minutes hint at a possible slowdown in balance sheet reduction, which is positive for risk assets. However, USDT regulatory risks are still unfolding; conflicting news cancels each other out, and technicals are gaining importance.
Tonight at 22:00 US stock custody report is worth watching. If institutional accumulation data shows up, it could be the trigger for a trend reversal.
In the short term (1-3 days), my plan is to gradually buy within the 88300-89500 range, with a stop-loss at 87700. The first target is 90500; if broken, then aim for 92500. If the weekly close can hold above 92000, the four-hour head and shoulders bottom pattern will be confirmed, and there’s a chance to see 95000 or higher later. $BTC