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Today’s short-term focus is on the key level of 89600. The current market signals are not yet clear enough, so we need to continue observing the development of the right-side trend.
If 89600 can break out with volume and reach a new high, the next resistance levels are 90700 and 91700. But frankly, this path is fraught with heavy resistance, and the risk-reward ratio is not very favorable, so chasing longs is not advisable.
Conversely, if 89600 cannot hold, the downside potential is quite significant. The previous low of 88000 becomes the first support, followed by 86700 and 84500 below. Overall, the cost-effectiveness of aggressively chasing longs is limited. Instead of risking a breakout, it’s better to wait until resistance levels are confirmed before shorting, which will provide a more solid risk-reward profile.
Strategy summary: For counter-trend movements, watch the right side; for trend-following movements, focus on the left side. Once clear signals are formed, follow up promptly.