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 is currently in a volatile and weak phase, with overall market sentiment extremely panicked. Short-term fluctuations are intense, and major holdings show signs of capital outflow. For daily contract operations, it is recommended to adopt a cautious approach with controlled positions, focusing on support and resistance zones, and avoiding chasing gains or panic selling.
Price fluctuates significantly within the range of 2,157 – 2,395 USDT intraday, with short-term volume and price declining simultaneously, and hourly volume increasing while price drops, indicating capital outflow. The MACD shows a short-term golden cross, slightly strengthening the bullish trend, but on a larger cycle, the RSI is overbought, indicating higher risk of a pullback.
On the news front, large ETH holders (such as Bitmine) have experienced significant unrealized losses, causing panic in the market regarding short-term selling pressure. Additionally, large holders are increasing their positions but liquidity is insufficient, highlighting liquidation risks. Overall, ETH is in a high-risk volatile period in the short term, not suitable for chasing rallies, and waiting for a clearer trend is advisable.
Contract Strategy Plan
Long Position Strategy
Aggressive Short-term: Enter long positions at two points: 1️⃣2300 and 2️⃣2210. If retests hold without breaking, add short-term longs (with around 20 points profit, reduce positions for defense and maintain residual positions).
Steady Positioning: Wait for a retest near yesterday’s low of 2160, find a suitable entry point flexibly, and strictly set stop-losses (to prevent losses).
Short Position Strategy
I personally prefer to go long mainly. Those interested in short positions can set stop-losses to catch a correction.
If the rebound around 2450 cannot break through, consider entering with a small position and a stop-loss. As above, reduce positions to lock in profits and set stop-losses, maintaining residual positions.
⚠️ Risk Advice
The current market is extremely panicked, with frequent liquidation events. The market can reverse suddenly, so it is strongly recommended to set stop-losses to prevent extreme movements.
During high volatility periods, try small trial trades with contracts, operate in batches, and pay close attention to market sentiment and trading volume changes.
Avoid chasing highs or entering heavy positions during sharp fluctuations to prevent forced stop-losses.
News and public opinion are complex; always judge rationally and do not blindly follow market hype.
The above strategies are purely based on personal subjective experience and judgment, not investment advice, for reference only.