$DOGE #BuyTheDipOrWaitNow? here is a professional multi-timeframe analysis and trade plan for DOGE/USDT.



1. 4-Hour Chart - Identify Direction (Trend & Macro Structure)

· Chart Reference:

· Analysis: The 4H chart defines the dominant bearish trend. Price has made a clear series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). The Bollinger Bands (20,2) are wide and expanding downwards, with price currently (0.0962x) trading well below the middle band (BOLL: 0.09752), confirming bearish momentum. The Parabolic SAR (0.02,0.02,0.2) at 0.08734 is far below price, acting as a distant target. The MACD(12,26,9) shows a negative DIF (-0.00260) but a positive histogram (0.00058), indicating potential slowing of bearish momentum, but no trend reversal signal yet.
· Verdict: Primary Trend is DOWN. Any short-term bullish moves are to be treated as counter-trend corrections within a larger downtrend until key levels are broken.

2. 1-Hour Chart - Identify Liquidity Highs and Lows (Key Levels)

· Analysis: This timeframe shows the recent price action in detail. Key liquidity levels are clear:
· Recent High / Resistance: 0.10119 (the peak of the last bounce).
· Immediate Resistance & Fair Value Gap (FVG): The zone between 0.09731 (previous support) and 0.09925.
· Current Price & Minor Support: 0.09623 - 0.09536 (current trading range and lower Bollinger Band area).
· Recent Low / Major Support (Buy-Side Liquidity): 0.09378 (24H Low, a clear liquidity pool).
· Verdict: Liquidity pools (stops) are located above 0.10119 (for shorts) and below 0.09378 (for longs). Price is consolidating between 0.09536 and 0.09731 after a rejection from higher levels.

3. 15-Minute Chart - Identify Break of Structure (BOS) / Change of Character (CHoCH)

· Analysis: Here we see the microstructure. Price made a low at ~0.09413, then formed a Higher Low (HL) at ~0.09483, and a Higher High (HH) at ~0.09807, breaking the immediate downtrend structure. This is a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside on the 15m. However, price has since retraced and is testing the equilibrium (the 20-period BOLL at 0.09633). The MACD is flatlining around zero (MACD: -0.00003), indicating a loss of momentum and potential for a next move.
· Verdict: A bullish BOS has occurred on the 15m, signaling a short-term Change of Character (CHoCH) from down to ranging/up. The bullish thesis is invalidated if price breaks below the recent HL at 0.09483.

4. 5-Minute Chart - Trade Plan Execution (Entry, Stop, Target)

· Trade Plan - Scenario A (Bullish Continuation from 15m BOS):
· Idea: Play the 15m CHoCH for a move back into the 1h FVG/resistance zone.
· Trigger/Entry: Look for a bullish order block or reversal candle (e.g., bullish engulfing) on the 5m chart above 0.09595 (the 5m SAR level) or on a hold of 0.09577 (5m BOLL LB). A more aggressive entry is on a break & hold above 0.09690 (5m BOLL UB).
· Stop Loss (SL): Place below the 15m Change of Character level at 0.09483. A tighter stop can be placed below 0.09536 (1h minor support) for a higher risk/reward.
· Take Profit Targets (TP):
· TP1: 0.09704 (1h BOLL Middle Band / top of 5m range).
· TP2: 0.09925 (Edge of 1h FVG/Resistance zone).
· TP3: 0.10119 (1H Recent High / Liquidity Sweep Target).
· Trade Plan - Scenario B (Bearish Continuation with 4H Trend):
· Idea: The 4H trend is bearish. Fade any failed rally into resistance.
· Trigger/Entry: Look for a bearish rejection (e.g., bearish order block, pin bar) on the 5m/15m chart at or near 0.09731 or 0.09925. A break and close below 0.09536 could also be used for a continuation entry.
· Stop Loss (SL): Place above the entry resistance zone, ideally above 0.10119.
· Take Profit Targets (TP):
· TP1: 0.09378 (24H Low / Liquidity Pool).
· TP2: 0.09000 (Psychological level & towards 4H SAR).

Summary & Risk Management:

· Bias: Cautiously bullish in the short term (15m BOS), but bearish in the medium term (4H structure). The highest probability trade is to wait for price to reach a key 1H level (either support ~0.0953 or resistance ~0.0973-0.0992) and then trade in the direction of the 15m BOS (long) or the 4H trend (short) with appropriate confirmation.
· Key Level to Hold for Bulls: 0.09483 (15m CHoCH level).
· Key Level to Break for Bears: 0.10119 (would challenge the 4H downtrend structure).
· Current Status: Price at 0.09622 is in no-man's land on the 5m. Wait for a clear setup at a defined level. The tightening BOLL bands on lower timeframes suggest an imminent volatility expansion.$DOGE
DOGE0.07%
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HandsomeGuyInTheMounvip
· 1h ago
Currently, given this market situation, if the charts are accurate, then there wouldn't be so many people getting liquidated. Looking at the charts now, if they are correct, it explains why so few traders are being wiped out. This shows that the market conditions are more stable than they appear, and many traders might be overreacting. In summary, the current market trend suggests that, with proper analysis, traders can avoid unnecessary losses.
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