BTC Technical Outlook: Bitcoin Consolidates Near Macro Base After Breakdown Below 0.236
Bitcoin remains in a corrective phase after failing to sustain acceptance above the $85,000–$93,000 resistance region, which aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
Repeated rejection from this supply cluster, combined with the breakdown below the ascending support structure, confirmed a transition from bullish continuation into a broader corrective trend.
Price is currently consolidating near the $66,000–$70,000 region, forming a short-term base after an extended decline from the $100K+ highs. This area now acts as a critical decision zone for BTC’s next directional move.
EMA Structure (Bearish to Neutral Bias)
20 EMA: $72,128
50 EMA: $79,647
100 EMA: $86,679
200 EMA: $93,349
BTC is trading below all major EMAs, with the 20 & 50 EMA cluster acting as immediate dynamic resistance.
The EMA alignment remains bearish, confirming sellers still dominate medium-term momentum. Any upside attempt is likely to face supply between $72,000–$80,000 unless reclaimed with strong volume and continuation.
Fibonacci & Price Structure
0.786 Fib: $111,968
0.618 Fib: $100,856
0.5 Fib: $93,051
0.382 Fib: $85,246
0.236 Fib: $75,589
Fib 0 (Macro Base): $59,980
BTC failed to hold above the 0.382–0.5 cluster, confirming continuation of the corrective structure.
Price has decisively broken below the 0.236 ($75,589) level and is now stabilizing above the macro base region.
A breakdown below $66,000 would expose BTC to the $60,000 macro base, while holding this zone could allow a relief bounce toward higher resistance levels.
RSI Momentum
RSI is currently trading around 32–35, reflecting neutral-bearish momentum.
While downside momentum has slowed after reaching near-oversold conditions, RSI remains below the 50 equilibrium level — suggesting consolidation rather than confirmed reversal.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$72,000–$75,500 (EMA + 0.236 zone)
$85,246 (0.382 Fib)
$93,051 (0.5 Fib)
$100,856 (0.618 Fib)
Support
$66,000–$68,000 (local demand)
$59,980 (macro base / Fib 0)
RSI: 32–35 — neutral-bearish
📌 Summary
Bitcoin is consolidating after a prolonged corrective decline, holding above a critical demand zone near $66K.
While selling pressure has cooled and price is attempting stabilization, the broader structure remains bearish below $75,500–$85,000.
A sustained recovery requires BTC to reclaim $75,589 (0.236) and then stabilize above $85K, while a breakdown below $66K would likely trigger continuation toward the $60K macro base.
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Ryakpanda
· 12h ago
Wishing you great wealth in the Year of the Horse 🐴
BTC Technical Outlook: Bitcoin Consolidates Near Macro Base After Breakdown Below 0.236
Bitcoin remains in a corrective phase after failing to sustain acceptance above the $85,000–$93,000 resistance region, which aligns with the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
Repeated rejection from this supply cluster, combined with the breakdown below the ascending support structure, confirmed a transition from bullish continuation into a broader corrective trend.
Price is currently consolidating near the $66,000–$70,000 region, forming a short-term base after an extended decline from the $100K+ highs. This area now acts as a critical decision zone for BTC’s next directional move.
EMA Structure (Bearish to Neutral Bias)
20 EMA: $72,128
50 EMA: $79,647
100 EMA: $86,679
200 EMA: $93,349
BTC is trading below all major EMAs, with the 20 & 50 EMA cluster acting as immediate dynamic resistance.
The EMA alignment remains bearish, confirming sellers still dominate medium-term momentum. Any upside attempt is likely to face supply between $72,000–$80,000 unless reclaimed with strong volume and continuation.
Fibonacci & Price Structure
0.786 Fib: $111,968
0.618 Fib: $100,856
0.5 Fib: $93,051
0.382 Fib: $85,246
0.236 Fib: $75,589
Fib 0 (Macro Base): $59,980
BTC failed to hold above the 0.382–0.5 cluster, confirming continuation of the corrective structure.
Price has decisively broken below the 0.236 ($75,589) level and is now stabilizing above the macro base region.
A breakdown below $66,000 would expose BTC to the $60,000 macro base, while holding this zone could allow a relief bounce toward higher resistance levels.
RSI Momentum
RSI is currently trading around 32–35, reflecting neutral-bearish momentum.
While downside momentum has slowed after reaching near-oversold conditions, RSI remains below the 50 equilibrium level — suggesting consolidation rather than confirmed reversal.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$72,000–$75,500 (EMA + 0.236 zone)
$85,246 (0.382 Fib)
$93,051 (0.5 Fib)
$100,856 (0.618 Fib)
Support
$66,000–$68,000 (local demand)
$59,980 (macro base / Fib 0)
RSI: 32–35 — neutral-bearish
📌 Summary
Bitcoin is consolidating after a prolonged corrective decline, holding above a critical demand zone near $66K.
While selling pressure has cooled and price is attempting stabilization, the broader structure remains bearish below $75,500–$85,000.
A sustained recovery requires BTC to reclaim $75,589 (0.236) and then stabilize above $85K, while a breakdown below $66K would likely trigger continuation toward the $60K macro base.
$BTC #What’sNextforBitcoin?