[Red Envelope] Oil-Glazed Lobster, Can Meiliyun Stand Out! Sentiment Index Recovery Expectations! Pre-market Strategy for March 10

[Trading Forum]

The blogger has been a full-time trader for 6 years with 11 years of trading experience. Skilled at perceiving subtle changes in the market, with a forward-looking sense of market patterns. Good at analyzing the rhythm of index, sector, and sentiment movements. The low-buying pattern is becoming more refined. Among the bloggers proficient in low-buying in Tao County, I hold my place! Achieving a stable monthly profit of 20% results in an annual compound interest of 8 times. A stable 15% monthly profit yields 4 times annual compound interest. A steady 10% monthly profit results in double the annual compound interest. My ambitions are modest; around 10% monthly stability is enough. Anything more is just gratitude for the market’s feedback! Maintaining a good mindset, treating trading as a joyful activity—why not enjoy it?

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Tuesday, March 10 — Simple Review and Pre-market Strategy Deduction

The Shanghai Composite Index is expected to open slightly lower, down 0.62%, at 4098 points, breaking the 4100 mark. The first support at 4085 points offers no resistance; during the session, it dropped to a low of 4052, a maximum decline of 1.73%. It gradually stabilized with a slight V-shaped rebound, closing at 4096 points, down 0.67%. The total market volume was 2.65 trillion yuan, with an increased volume of 447.3 billion yuan. Note that volume expansion occurred during the early decline, while the rebound was on decreasing volume—this is a hidden risk. Despite this, the Shanghai Index exceeded expectations. Compared to the panic sell-off in Asia-Pacific markets at 8 a.m., A-shares held up much better. The ChiNext index fell a maximum of 3.64%, with a strong V-shaped rebound, closing down 0.64%.

The Shanghai Index confirmed the 3055 support level twice, indicating the bottom area is basically explored unless there is an extreme geopolitical conflict. Whether the index will advance depends on volume. If volume shrinks, narrow-range oscillation is highly probable. As long as there is no systemic risk, focus on individual stocks rather than the index. Sentiment and index recovery are expected; the strength of recovery depends on volume. If the rebound is on decreasing volume, sector rotation will become normal. After repeated rebounds, domestic computing power is expected to stand out.

Key Sector Review and Strategy Outlook

1. Oil & Gas: Oil stocks and futures surged more than last Monday, but the bidding and number of one-word orders are not stronger than last week. Last Friday’s lurking funds were too many, gradually realized after opening, and wiped out by the close. External sentiment spillover in chemicals and coal was also realized. The loss effect is full, with over 20 stocks breaking the limit. Pre-market strategy indicated geopolitical conflicts have no expected difference; it’s a game for the brave, not necessarily following futures. After last week’s divergence, many trapped positions and unabsorbed chips were directly realized by lurking funds. Unless futures surge again tomorrow, recovery will be difficult.

2. AI & Power: Last Friday focused on computational coordination. Bidding saw only one one-word order from Jinkai New Energy with weak order volume of 288 million and a burst volume of 162 million. GCL New Energy had a burst volume of 185 million, nearly a one-word order. Shunnai Co., Ltd. did not open a one-word order but showed expected divergence. Yunnan Energy Holdings dropped from the limit down to -5.54%. The computational coordination sector shows divergence and even disagreement expectations. After opening, Xinkai New Energy faced pressure without a one-word order; Shunnai Co. quickly hit the limit and drove the sector. During the day, 15 stocks hit the limit, mostly in the morning, with stronger momentum after midday, driven by computing power inflow.

Hidden risks include: Jinkai New Energy had a burst volume with a leak order at the end of the day, indicating some funds are rushing ahead, suggesting divergence or disagreement. Shao Neng Co. opened a board in the afternoon, also indicating divergence. Power export is an old cycle; the understanding of computational coordination as a rebound is subjective. Capacity giants like China Western Electric and TBEA show signs of stagnation; divergence or split expectations are present. Without early movers, latecomers have no cost performance. The surge of Shunnai Co. was due to Jinkai New Energy blocking the knife; will there be more blockers tomorrow? Three days of acceleration, can further acceleration withstand divergence? Even if it reaches 5 limit-ups, the cost performance for latecomers is low. For first or second limit-ups, they are small players with no significance.

3. Domestic Computing Power: The weekend’s lobster concept was affected by geopolitical shocks, with bidding below expectations. Only Ningbo Construction Group had a one-word order, with a large sell-off before 9:20 am, which is noteworthy. Tuowei Information had only a small red order. Meili Yun also underperformed, with a small red order. Despite bidding below expectations, divergence expectations emerged. After the sector shifted from consensus to divergence, stocks like Youke De and Cloud Smart Zhilian hit the limit-up and then gradually retraced. In the afternoon, further strengthening occurred; Hongbo Co. hit the limit-up, and Meili Yun recovered to 3 limit-ups. Central Army stocks like China Great Wall, Tuowei Information, and others followed with limit-ups. There were 15 stocks hitting the limit-up during the day, 8 in the afternoon, with 4 large-cap stocks at 20 centimeters. All hitting the limit-up are lobster concepts, essentially related to computing power leasing, cloud computing, etc.—lobster is just a surface; the core is domestic computing power.

In the afternoon, domestic computing power stocks strongly rebounded, with a small intra-day climax, still showing divergence expectations. The logic is that after Token’s export, continuous news catalysts are expected, and DeepSeekV4 is still anticipated. Of course, the premise is that the index does not plunge sharply; without the index, sectors cannot stand alone! Lobster is superficial; domestic computing power is the core. As long as bidding for 1-2 stocks hits the limit-up with high premiums like Youke De, it meets expectations.

Ningbo Construction Group, 2 limit-ups, with strong sentiment and expected one-word orders; if no one-word order opens, it’s below expectations.
Youke De, first limit-up, with a high open expectation.
Meili Yun, 3 limit-ups, not lobster concept but cloud computing, with about 5% expectation. If Ningbo Construction blocks the knife, it might become a high-level stock, reversing Shunnai Co.
Central Army stocks like China Great Wall, Tuowei Information, no need for limit-ups; red oscillation is the strongest support for the sector.

First limit-up stocks lack enough recognition; as arbitrage, only the strongest can be considered, assuming Ningbo Construction cannot buy expected stocks. Watch stocks like Yun Smart Zhilian, Qu Xing Toys, Haoliang Data, Hongbo Co.

For stocks without early moves, Meili Yun has risks as a latecomer. Only observe the capacity of Central Army stocks and the 20-cent elasticity stocks.

If bidding and opening meet expectations, observe: Central Army stocks, Tuowei Information, China Great Wall, Dongyang Sunshine, Digital China, Sugon, Runze Tech, Wangsu Tech. For 20-cent elasticity stocks, Youke De, Shunwang Tech, Capital Online, Hongjing Tech, Yakang Co. are candidates. These stocks are low to mid-cap, with low divergence risk and potential for continuation; avoid chasing highs.

Today’s Case Review

1. Meili Yun: After opening below zero, a single trade crossed the moving average zero line. In the afternoon, it re-floated, with a queue on the board that I didn’t notice. Logic: computing power positioning, betting on computing power inflow. It was the only 3-limit stock, with two 4-limit stocks, different sectors. If not for geopolitical shocks blocking sentiment, the index would have opened sharply lower, possibly with a one-word expectation, creating a divergence.

2. Capital Online: After opening, a small green candle with a single trade crossing the moving average, consistent with previous positions. Logic: recognizable, one of the DeepSeek leaders, oscillating along the lower edge of the box, with clear signs of stabilization. Not breaking out at the limit but observing the trend.

3. Tuowei Information: Pattern. In a weak market environment, capacity stocks are hard to predict for limit-ups; a single stock position is enough for me, no further attention. Logic: repeated many times, capacity stocks rarely sustain multiple limit-ups; look at the trend.

4. Zhangyuan Tungsten: Pattern reached the red plate, then unfollowed.

5. Keta Power: Unfollowed after opening.

Tuowei Information was shared during last Friday’s session. Capital Online was also shared last Friday, and again today. Meili Yun was shared today.

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Disclaimer:

Case reviews are only personal analysis and record-keeping!
Investing involves risks; trade cautiously. Plans are never faster than market changes; follow the market movements!
Articles are just my understanding of the market, for personal sharing only!
They do not constitute investment advice. Trade at your own risk!

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