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Liang Jianzhang: The Birth Crisis in the AI Era and Systematic Response
Introduction: The Grim Reality of Global Birth Rates
Human society is facing a silent but far-reaching population crisis. According to the latest data from the World Bank, the global total fertility rate (TFR) has dropped sharply from 2.7 in 2000 to 2.2 in 2023, approaching the replacement level of 2.1. Even more concerning, about two-thirds of countries worldwide have fertility rates below the replacement level, and one-third are trapped in a “super-low fertility” trap (below 1.5). In developed countries, the birth rates remain low, with the United States at 1.6, Japan at 1.2, and the European Union at 1.4. South Korea has the lowest at 0.7. China’s situation is particularly alarming: in 2023, the World Bank reported a fertility rate of 1.0, and according to the latest data from the National Bureau of Statistics, China’s fertility rate is already below 1.0 in 2025, meaning each generation’s population will be halved.
Recommended access to Caixin Database for real-time macroeconomic, stock, bond, corporate figures, and financial data.