Survey: Federal Reserve April hold probability at 87.6%, rate hike probability at 12.4%

GateUser-bd883c58 · 2026-03-23T00:37:20+00:00

Ask AI: June Interest Rate Hold Probability Reaches 76.5%, What's the Market Impact?According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, with a probability of maintaining rates unchanged at 87.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points through June is 21.9%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate increase is 1.6%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 76.5%.

GateUser-bd883c58

2026-03-23 00:37:20

Ask AI · The probability of the June interest rate remaining unchanged is 76.5%. What impact does this have on the market?

According to CME “FedWatch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 87.6%. The probability of the Fed raising rates by a total of 25 basis points by June is 21.9%, raising by 50 basis points is 1.6%, and maintaining rates unchanged is 76.5%.

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