Galaxy Securities: Crude Oil Price Movements Under Geopolitical Conflicts Remain the Key Variable Affecting Recent Market Structure Changes

MetaMuskRat · 2026-03-23T00:40:25+00:00

Galaxy Securities research report indicates that geopolitical conflict uncertainty is causing increased volatility in global risk assets in the short term, but A-shares have limited downside space and are expected to consolidate and differentiate while digesting external pressures. The report recommends paying attention to investment opportunities in sectors such as energy, technological innovation, and consumer.

MetaMuskRat

2026-03-23 00:40:25

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People’s Financial News, March 23 — Galaxy Securities research report states that there is still significant uncertainty regarding the duration and evolution of geopolitical conflicts. Short-term disruptions to global risk assets are unlikely to fade, and global equity markets are expected to continue high volatility. However, the downside for A-shares is relatively limited, and the market is likely to digest external pressures through oscillation, differentiation, and sector rotation.

In terms of structure, market trading focuses on inflation logic, and changes in crude oil prices under geopolitical conflicts will remain a key variable influencing recent market structure.

Regarding allocation, focus on:

The ongoing escalation of US-Iran conflicts, which directly drives stronger energy and alternative demand. Pay attention to coal chemical industry, coal, shipping ports, oil and gas, etc.
The market is shifting towards defensive assets, such as finance, utilities, and transportation.
Technology innovation sectors, including power equipment and new energy, energy storage, semiconductor, computing power, and communication equipment.

Additionally, the valuation of consumer sectors is at historically low levels, with some sub-sectors having potential for recovery. Consider sectors like agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, food and beverages, and household appliances.

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