Gate Research: Crypto Fear & Greed Index Shows Notable Recovery, 21Shares Updates HYPE ETF Filing

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2026-04-15 06:40:42
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Last Updated 2026-04-15 07:06:24
Gate Research Daily Report: Over the past 24 hours, BTC followed a three-phase pattern of “range-bound consolidation → volume-driven rally → high-level pullback and consolidation,” while ETH clearly underperformed BTC during the same period. RAVE surged due to a supply-demand imbalance driven by short squeezes and low circulating supply, while LOBO benefited from the recovery of the Bitcoin ecosystem and rising community momentum. 21Shares has updated its Hyperliquid ETF filing (ticker: THYP), and Ether.fi announced plans to supply approximately $3 billion worth of ETH as validator liquidity to the ETHGas market over the next three years. Meanwhile, Anthropic has reached an $800 billion valuation and received investment interest from multiple venture capital firms.

Crypto Market Overview

  • Bitcoin (+0.39% | Price: $74,322.7): Over the past 24 hours, BTC exhibited a three-phase structure of “range-bound consolidation at lower levels → volume-driven breakout → pullback and consolidation at higher levels.” The market initially moved sideways around $70,700, before a sharp surge in trading volume in the afternoon pushed the price above the $72,000 level, reaching an intraday high of $76,043.6 in the evening. It then retraced under profit-taking and short pressure, consolidating within the $74,600–$75,000 range. On the macro side, the ongoing tug-of-war over 2026 rate cut expectations remains the core driver of the crypto market. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index fluctuated around 103, with its suppressive effect on BTC easing, providing a favorable external window for this rally. On-chain data shows continued inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs, with institutional buying forming strong support in the $73,000–$74,000 range, acting as a key driver of this rebound. The moving average system shows a short-term bearish alignment (MA5 < MA10 < MA30), indicating a downward crossover after the recent pullback. The MACD shows a bearish crossover with negative histogram bars, reflecting weak short-term momentum. Trading volume dropped sharply by nearly 50% after the peak, suggesting limited follow-through buying. Under the dual pressure of bearish moving averages and MACD signals, BTC is likely to consolidate within the $74,000–$75,300 range in the short term unless volume meaningfully recovers, with attention needed on whether the $73,800 support can hold.

  • Ethereum (-1.40% | Price: $2,324.6): ETH significantly underperformed BTC over the past 24 hours, following a pattern of “low-level consolidation → rally in sync with BTC → deeper retracement.” The price rose from around $2,190 to an intraday high near $2,394 alongside BTC in the afternoon, but then declined more sharply, briefly dropping to a 24-hour low of $2,303, marking a 1.40% decline. The ETH/BTC ratio weakened notably, indicating a preference for BTC over Ethereum. From an event-driven perspective, uncertainty remains around the final timeline of the Ethereum Pectra upgrade, with the market cautious about its potential to boost ecosystem activity. Additionally, fragmentation within the Layer 2 ecosystem continues to divert fee revenue from the Ethereum mainnet, making ETH’s fundamental narrative more complex compared to BTC. On the macro side, under Fed policy uncertainty, risk-on capital is increasingly concentrated in BTC, reducing the relative attractiveness of altcoins including ETH. The moving averages are in a disordered bearish structure, with MA5 and MA10 both below MA30. The MACD shows a bearish crossover with consistently negative histogram bars, indicating broadly weak momentum. RSI has dropped to 37.81, approaching oversold territory; a move below 30 could trigger a technical rebound, but upside may remain limited without fundamental improvement. Overall, ETH’s technical outlook is bearish, and without volume support, the $2,295–$2,310 range faces significant pressure, with downside risks persisting.

  • Altcoins: Over the past 24 hours, the altcoin market followed major assets in a structurally broad decline, with approximately 74.5% of tokens falling and only 21.2% recording gains. Among sectors, the BRC-20 segment stood out, posting an average gain of 13.08%, with certain projects such as STO surging over 190.02%. The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 53, showing a clear recovery from previous “extreme fear” levels and now sitting in “neutral” territory. However, overall sentiment remains cautious, and broad-based altcoin rallies still heavily depend on consolidation in major assets.

  • Macro: On April 14, the S&P 500 rose 1.18% to 6,967.38, the Dow Jones gained 0.66% to 48,535.99, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.96% to 23,639.08. As of April 15, 02:35 AM (UTC), spot gold was trading at $4,858.80 per ounce, up 1.39% over 24 hours.

RAVE (RaveDAO, +129.77%, Market Cap $31.33B)

According to Gate market data, RAVE is currently priced at $18.85, up 129.77% in 24 hours. RaveDAO is a decentralized autonomous organization focused on building a decentralized entertainment and social ecosystem.

The recent surge was driven by extremely high trading activity and potential supply shocks, triggering a short squeeze. Frequent large on-chain transfers combined with low circulating supply further amplified price volatility.

LOBO (LOBO•THE•WOLF•PUP, +63.63%, Market Cap $90.55M)

LOBO is currently priced at $0.013035, up 63.63% in 24 hours. It is one of the top ten Rune projects (Rune #9) on the Bitcoin Runes protocol and a purely community-driven meme token.

Benefiting from the overall recovery of the BRC-20 and Bitcoin ecosystem sectors, LOBO has attracted strong community capital inflows, while progress in its 1v1 strategy game has further boosted engagement.

BR (Bedrock, +43.51%, Market Cap $351M)

BR is currently priced at $0.17787, up 43.51% in 24 hours. Bedrock is a multi-asset liquid restaking protocol (LRT) designed to unlock yield for assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The protocol has recently attracted significant TVL growth through the restaking narrative, and as a leading governance token in the sector, it has shown strong rebound momentum amid demand for yield-enhancing and defensive assets.

Alpha Insights

21Shares Updates HYPE ETF Filing

On April 15, 21Shares updated its Hyperliquid ETF application, bringing it one step closer to launching a listed HYPE ETF as it undergoes review by the SEC. This move signals that the on-chain derivatives sector is accelerating its integration into traditional finance. If approved, it would provide institutional investors with a compliant entry point into the Hyperliquid ecosystem, strengthening valuation anchors and liquidity support for on-chain perpetual trading assets, while also indicating increasing regulatory acceptance of new trading infrastructure.

Ether.fi Commits $3 Billion in ETH to ETHGas as Validator Liquidity

On April 15, Ether.fi announced plans to supply approximately $3 billion worth of ETH as validator liquidity to the ETHGas market over the next three years, sourced from around 2.8 million staked ETH under its management. ETHGas is a block space futures market on Ethereum that allows users to pre-purchase block space to ensure transaction execution. This initiative aims to enhance validator yield and improve yield stability through mechanism design, while also providing developers and institutions with more predictable transaction costs and execution efficiency. The injection of validator liquidity marks a shift toward treating Ethereum block space as a tradable resource, advancing Ethereum from a settlement layer toward a “resource pricing market.”

Anthropic Valuation Reaches $800 Billion

On April 15, according to Business Insider, multiple sources revealed that Anthropic has recently received investment offers from several venture capital firms at a valuation of up to $800 billion—more than double its previous valuation. This reflects strong demand in Silicon Valley to invest in Anthropic, particularly as the company may pursue an IPO later this year. In February, Anthropic completed a funding round led by GIC and Coatue at a $380 billion valuation. Investors have been impressed by its rapid growth and the momentum of its AI coding assistant, Claude Code. The company recently reported annualized revenue of $30 billion, up significantly from $9 billion at the end of last year, and released its latest model, Mythos, which will not yet be made public due to potential cybersecurity risks.
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Author: Akane
Reviewer(s): Puffy, Kieran
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