Bitcoin investors’ sentiment has declined to its weakest point since the beginning of 2023, but market analysts say this drop could signal the beginning of a rise.
According to CryptoQuant’s latest “Weekly Crypto Report,” Bitcoin’s bull score index has fallen below 40 for the first time since 2024. This is generally a sign consistent with bear market conditions.
Although long periods below this threshold have historically been a precursor to prolonged get dumped, they have also created a fertile ground for counter-trend rallies.
Despite the gloomy weather, Bitcoin showed surprising resistance amid sharp sell-offs in traditional financial markets.
On April 3rd, the S&P 500 recorded its worst single-day drop since the pandemic, falling by 4.5%. Bitcoin defied the trend and continued its day in the green.
Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones dropped further, with declines of 3.87% and 3.44% respectively, while BTC remained stable near the breakeven point, leading to a continuation of the deviation on April 4.
This relative strength feeds speculation that a “risk-on” environment may be taking shape, with investors turning to riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.
The Value Days Destroyed (VDD) metric, which tracks the movement of long-held coins by CryptoQuant, is currently at a level of 0.72, indicating a significant profit-taking after dropping from its peak of 2.27 in December.
Historically, a cooling VDD has been a precursor to consolidation and final accumulation, and has often laid the groundwork for a breakout.
The report stated, “Bitcoin seems to be entering a transition phase.” It added, “We are seeing less selling pressure from long-term holders, which could support price stability and even upward momentum.”
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index registered a score of 28 in the “Fear” zone on April 4, reflecting a decline in sentiment after falling into the “Extreme Fear” zone the previous day.