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Bitcoin bear market lasts five months, with 74% of long-term holders' profits quickly shrinking

February 25 News, Bitcoin price has fallen approximately 50% from its all-time high, and 74% of long-term holders' profits are rapidly shrinking. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost pointed out that as Bitcoin price approaches cost basis, the average profit of long-term holders continues to decline, a trend that usually signals the arrival of the bear market capitulation phase. Glassnode reports that the 90-day moving average of realized profit and loss for Bitcoin has fallen below 1, indicating the market has entered an excess loss realization phase. Historical data shows that such a bear market lasts at least six months before market liquidity begins to recover. Analyst James Check noted that Bitcoin has been declining for nearly five consecutive months, with weekly volatility soaring above 150%, and the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) also at historically oversold levels. Large amounts of Bitcoin at high price levels are flowing to new holders.

Can Polygon's price rebound to January's high? Stablecoin activity and application revenue may become key catalysts

On February 25, news, Polygon's price has fallen sharply by over 50% from its January 2026 high, reaching an annual low of $0.088 on February 11. The overall market correction and multiple support levels being broken for Bitcoin are closely related. Currently, POL is consolidating in the $0.100 to $0.115 range. According to DeFiLlama data, the total supply of stablecoins on the Polygon network has surged from $2.4 billion in early February to $3.26 billion, while the weekly revenue of DeFi applications on the network has increased by nearly 70%. The rise in activity and liquidity not only indicates an improvement in network health but may also attract more institutional capital into the market.

Bitcoin price drops 50% from historical highs, but Wall Street and corporations are疯狂ly increasing holdings

On February 25, it was reported that Bitcoin's trading price in 2026 dropped to $64,492, down nearly 50% from its all-time high in October 2025. Despite the price decline triggering market panic, adoption of Bitcoin by institutions and corporations continues to accelerate. BeInCrypto reports that retail investors have a pessimistic outlook on Bitcoin prices, with searches for "Bitcoin to zero" reaching a record high. Crypto hedge funds are increasing cash holdings, with the average cash reserve reaching 15.32%, the highest in nearly a year. Coin Bureau co-founder Nic Puckrin pointed out that this reflects a defensive strategy by institutional investors against short-term price volatility.

USDT market capitalization declines for the second consecutive month, potentially putting pressure on market recovery

Tether's issued stablecoin USDT's market value decreased by 0.8% this month to $183.61 billion, marking two consecutive months of contraction, reflecting market capital outflows and putting pressure on Bitcoin and the overall market. Bitcoin's price experienced a rebound but then fell back to around $65,000.

Data: CryptoQuant: Bitcoin futures market dominated by bears, selling pressure reaches 3-month high

Bitcoin's current price is in the $62,000 - $68,000 range, with the futures market funding rate in negative territory, indicating that bearish sentiment is dominant. Selling pressure continues to increase, reaching the highest level in three months. Although the price decline leads to liquidations, in the long term, it helps improve market leverage conditions.

Dogecoin On-Chain Losses Hit Record High: 1,100 Days of "Profit Days" Warning that DOGE May Enter a Two-Year Bottoming Cycle

February 25 News, Dogecoin (DOGE) is currently in a critical structural and technical range. On-chain research firm AMBCrypto pointed out that its price has entered a rare historical discount level, a characteristic often associated with long-term bottom formation rather than short-term reversal signals. Data shows that the "profit days" indicator has risen to a new high of 1100 days in history, indicating that the vast majority of historical trading days had prices above the current level, and many DOGE holders are still in deep unrealized losses. This phenomenon typically occurs during the later stages of a market correction cycle, reflecting that there is still significant remaining supply in the market, while long-term holders are numerous. However, structural cycle indicators have not yet released clear bottoming signals. From the perspective of net position changes among holders, during the 2021 and 2024 bull market ends, a large amount of DOGE was sold at cycle tops, while continuous buying in the $0.095 to $0.34 range significantly increased the overall holding costs.