These Key Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics Suggest BTC Has Not Yet Reached Its Bottom | Bitcoinist.com

BTC0,05%
ON-4,49%
NOT-5,47%

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure As Bitcoin’s price continues to face downside pressure and performance, speculation about BTC’s price bottom has grown significantly within the sector or community. However, to accurately determine whether BTC has reached a bottom is highly dependent on on-chain data from several metrics, which are now showing that the bottom is not yet in.

Bitcoin May Not Be Done Correcting

Determining the Bitcoin price bottom has become quite difficult in the ongoing market cycle. In the meantime, several key on-chain metrics are flashing caution and showing data that suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency asset may not have fully found its bottom yet for this market cycle.

Related Reading: Bitcoin Large Holders Lead the Way As BTC Accumulation Picks Up, Is A Rebound Brewing?After an on-chain analysis, Alphractal, an advanced investment and on-chain data platform, outlined that the BTC market is witnessing steady bleeding, but the true bottom has not been achieved yet. The platform’s analysis is focused mainly on two key metrics, which include the BTC Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) and the BTC Delta Growth Rate (Market Cap vs. Realized Cap).

These indications suggest that the market may still be dealing with excess supply and uncertainty, as evidenced by the ongoing pullback in BTC’s price. With the bearish signal from the two indicators, it is clear that the confirmation of a true bottom could need extended data-driven validation or more time.

BitcoinSource: Chart from Alphractal on XAs seen on the chart, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss metric has started to drop, suggesting that unrealized gains across the network are starting to compress. In spite of the decline, the metric is still in positive territory. This implies that market participants continue to remain in profits rather than losses.

Alphractal highlighted that the true cycle bottom historically only unfolds once the metric flips negative, entering full capitulation mode. Meanwhile, the BTC Delta Growth Rate is already demonstrating negative movement, signaling the end of speculative activity and the start of the fundamental accumulation phase.

Bearish Outlook Has Intensified Along With BTC’s Price Drop

Following a pullback last weekend, the Bitcoin price is now trading below the $90,000 mark again. According to Swissblock, an investment pioneer, recent price action has reinforced the bearish outlook of the market

Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Next Parabolic Phase, Analysts Set New TargetsAs the crypto king loses key support at the $89,200 level, the Bitcoin Risk Index is seeing a steady climb, heightening the general bearish sentiment. However, the platform noted that Bitcoin bulls are persistently holding a critical line of defense at the $84,500 mark, which is currently serving as the immediate target for the downside. Swissblock has outlined two separate scenarios that could play out in the upcoming sessions

For the bullish case, the platform predicts that if the $84,500 support holds, a liquidity sweep could occur at this point. At the same time, the Risk Index begins to cool off, channeling a high-conviction entry for long positioning. Breaking down the bearish scenario, Swissblock noted that a decline and consolidation below the $84,500 level would likely spark a deeper correction, targeting new lows below the November levels with a primary target at $74,000.

BitcoinBTC trading at $88,320 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.comFeatured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

SEC Chair Paul Atkins Announces Digital Asset Classification Framework with CFTC

Gate News message, April 26 — U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Paul Atkins has reaffirmed efforts to advance "Project Crypto" and announced a joint initiative with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to establish a digital asset classification framework that will clarify

GateNewsJust Now

BlackRock IBIT Bitcoin Options Open Interest Surpasses Deribit for First Time

Gate News message, April 26 — BlackRock's Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund IBIT saw its options open interest (OI) reach $27.61 billion, surpassing crypto derivatives platform Deribit's Bitcoin options market OI of $26.9 billion for the first time. The milestone signals accelerating institutional a

GateNews48m ago

CEX Exploiter Converts 21,000 ETH Worth $48.72M to Bitcoin Over Three Days

Gate News message, The CEX Exploiter has exchanged 21,000 ETH valued at $48.72 million for 617.43 BTC at a price of $0.0294 over the past three days. The hacker currently holds 1,000 ETH worth $2.32 million.

GateNews1h ago

Morgan Stanley Adds Stablecoin Fund After Bitcoin ETF Launch

Morgan Stanley Investment Management launched a stablecoin reserve fund to meet rising institutional demand for compliant digital asset infrastructure. The move deepens its push into tokenization and crypto-linked products as market participation expands. Key Takeaways: Morgan Stanley

Coinpedia2h ago

Metaplanet Raises $50M via Zero-Interest Bonds to Expand its 40,177 BTC Treasury

Tokyo-listed Metaplanet Inc. issued its 20th series of zero-interest bonds on April 24, 2026, raising ¥8 billion (approximately $50 million) earmarked entirely for bitcoin purchases. Key Takeaways: Metaplanet issued its 20th zero-coupon bond series on April 24, 2026, raising $50M to buy bitcoin.

Coinpedia5h ago

Bitcoin Liquidation Alert: $715M Short Squeeze at $80,974, $715M Long Liquidation at $74,180

Gate News message, April 25 — According to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin surpasses $80,974, cumulative short liquidations across major centralized exchanges would reach $715 million. Conversely, if BTC drops below $74,180, cumulative long liquidations across major CEXs would hit $715 million.

GateNews7h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments